MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b8572ebc7eaf377cc88ce897e32c9c61dcda84c81a00e8dd5be048ea5e43d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 374,586$186,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,408.05 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 52c | 229,233$119,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,746.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Twins | 53c | 49,624$26,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,094.54 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 50c | 43,448$21,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,651.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Twins | 49c | 28,889$14,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,171.92 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Twins | 53c | 22,180$11,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,755.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 21,000$10,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,980 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 18,675$8,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,897.75 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 49c | 15,041$7,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,306.31 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 52c | 9,444$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.33 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Twins | 47c | 5,944$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.13 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 53c | 5,894$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Twins | 50c | 4,200$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Twins | 54c | 4,199$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.36 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 51c | 3,270$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 3,096$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.25 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Twins | 53c | 3,019$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Twins | 50c | 2,700$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,773$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.19 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 15c | 1,728$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Twins | 51c | 1,723$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.73 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Twins | 53c | 1,634$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.05 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…59f0backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,582$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Twins | 50c | 1,500$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Twins | 53c | 1,448$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.44 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 28c | 1,316$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.55 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 52c | 1,114$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.88 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,112$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Diamondbacks | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 999.68$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.91 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 899.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 52c | 861.7$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 754$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.78 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 53c | 754$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Twins | 53c | 716$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.48 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Twins | 28c | 715.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 678.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 13c | 662.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 629.17$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.17 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 625$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 21c | 605.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.38 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Twins | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Twins | 55c | 418.18$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Twins | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 397.32$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 71c | 360.09$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Twins | 53c | 359.81$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 54c | 341.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Twins | 57c | 312$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Twins | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 26c | 259.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 41c | 227$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Twins | 52c | 217.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 205.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 204.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…c84bbacked Twins | 54c | 174.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Twins | 53c | 164.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Twins | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 53c | 129.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 122.3$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Twins | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e776backed Twins | 54c | 104.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…d285backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 48c | 104.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Twins | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Twins | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Twins | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Twins | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Twins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Twins | 51c | 81.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Twins | 23c | 81.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 80.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed Diamondbacks | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Twins | 24c | 68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Twins | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Twins | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57f…73dcbacked Twins | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Diamondbacks | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Twins | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Twins | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Twins | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Twinsthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.