MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7be0223a779d8a5b27029cebcc3bda49513c3414b3bc1cdc2381fdb7b4b235f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,091,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,134,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,091,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 772,865$409,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409,970.48 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 47c | 246,598$115,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,687.16 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Tigers | 47c | 103,589$48,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,902.07 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Tigers | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 47c | 63,000$29,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,390 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers | 47c | 44,000$20,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,319.94 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers | 55c | 30,998$16,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,079.5 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Tigers | 47c | 30,129$14,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,976.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Tigers | 47c | 29,397$13,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,580.65 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tigers | 46c | 28,959$13,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,633.41 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Tigers | 47c | 21,200$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,236 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Tigers | 46c | 20,000$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,856.9 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers | 47c | 19,839$9,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.54 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 46c | 19,330$8,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,432.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 45c | 16,254$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,274.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Tigers | 47c | 15,311$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,111.72 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 51c | 12,427$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,052.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Tigers | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,888.83 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 43c | 7,751$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Tigers | 46c | 7,653$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.66 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 46c | 7,110$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.4 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 47c | 5,954$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.21 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Sox | 38c | 4,910$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.88 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers | 60c | 4,454$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.15 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Red Sox | 29c | 4,181$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 47c | 2,907$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Tigers | 48c | 2,546$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.83 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 2,239$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.69 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Tigers | 36c | 2,236$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Red Sox | 38c | 2,133$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.07 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Red Sox | 60c | 2,082$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tigers | 40c | 2,072$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.42 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Tigers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Red Sox | 54c | 1,911$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.05 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,690$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.49 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Sox | 44c | 1,684$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Red Sox | 54c | 1,626$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.69 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigers | 71c | 1,576$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,553$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Tigers | 69c | 1,134$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Tigers | 47c | 1,095$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.35 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.01 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Tigers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd0…f611backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 53c | 938$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.16 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 52c | 931.79$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.53 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Tigers | 48c | 750$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.88 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Tigers | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Red Sox | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…ea25backed Tigers | 72c | 696.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Sox | 53c | 688.11$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…6040backed Tigers | 46c | 684.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 44c | 675.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.85 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Red Sox | 67c | 671.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Tigers | 48c | 630.23$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.72 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Tigers | 48c | 624.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.89 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 31c | 540.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tigers | 72c | 523.82$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.11 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Tigers | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 40c | 460.16$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.29 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Tigers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tigers | 46c | 396.63$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.27 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Red Sox | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Tigers | 69c | 318.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Red Sox | 36c | 275.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…376fbacked Tigers | 46c | 268.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 38c | 262.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.69 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Tigers | 47c | 250$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Tigers | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Red Sox | 35c | 210.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127c…3743backed Red Sox | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers | 46c | 197.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Red Sox | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…ad77backed Red Sox | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tigers | 49c | 149.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Red Sox | 14c | 137.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 28c | 128.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e9…9f66backed Red Sox | 53c | 112.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Tigers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Tigers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Tigers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…552cbacked Red Sox | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.