TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$864,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$917,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x467e…e2edbacked T18c140,920$11,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,480.911010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Gen.G58c74,904$43,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,232.9436433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed T141c45,482$18,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,473.0923447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed T142c37,125$15,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,646.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed T153c33,782$17,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,743.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked T135c26,213$9,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,110.315435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Gen.G59c25,644$15,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,479.766566.2%43 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked T137c24,942$9,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,322.769020%18 W · 72 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed T160c20,235$12,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,179.5711452.6%60 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Gen.G57c19,999$11,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,649.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed T139c13,115$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.3220557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed T125c12,755$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.53922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Gen.G71c11,720$8,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.8625269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec7…1594backed Gen.G68c11,629$7,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,764.225937.3%22 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Gen.G61c10,083$6,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,931.421740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Gen.G53c9,698$5,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,547.728746%132 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed T140c9,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9931036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Gen.G62c8,167$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,126.4316439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed Gen.G75c7,708$5,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.987357.5%42 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x530c…fb1bbacked Gen.G79c6,959$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e87…1858backed Gen.G62c6,725$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Gen.G60c5,932$3,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.7340370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6da…59a5backed T125c5,276$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed T121c5,003$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.144119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9297…e0ccbacked T12c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed T140c4,550$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9911744.4%52 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked T123c4,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98911434.2%39 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Gen.G76c4,180$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Gen.G68c4,081$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.4941752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed T126c3,749$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed T140c3,499$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.394339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda71…db66backed T153c3,473$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.17560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Gen.G59c3,403$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.51,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed T149c3,249$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.626245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed T141c3,229$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.147230.6%22 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Gen.G52c3,026$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.935957.6%34 W · 25 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67d4…a140backed T130c3,009$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.831020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G60c2,944$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.931,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked T143c2,936$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.485311.3%6 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Gen.G50c2,883$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.4210949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb960…b8a1backed T128c2,716$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Gen.G72c2,639$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.4912361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d5…f0c8backed Gen.G60c2,572$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.663751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed T140c2,495$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99912338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6dd…c9efbacked T140c2,337$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.541250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked T141c2,300$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9411540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Gen.G73c2,215$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.626164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcad4…1a4cbacked T120c2,065$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.17119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-86.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Gen.G61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78034244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked T142c1,926$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Gen.G76c1,901$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.577444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…84f7backed Gen.G60c1,743$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.48520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed T139c1,664$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.5924240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x808f…87b2backed T131c1,587$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.722166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed T156c1,582$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.841945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed T140c1,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5952119%4 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T139c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Gen.G61c1,335$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7514761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Gen.G67c1,331$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98fa…d698backed Gen.G59c1,330$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.216861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed T125c1,211$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.043,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Gen.G58c1,200$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed T124c1,154$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.567516%12 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Gen.G62c1,104$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.097100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed T178c1,070$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.7615551.6%80 W · 75 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd503…ef93backed T145c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Gen.G75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed T139c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed T142c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9924650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…6d3ebacked Gen.G78c999.99$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked Gen.G61c920.94$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2812360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Gen.G60c875$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35053954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Gen.G60c842.08$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1117241.9%72 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Gen.G61c814.48$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6515147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Gen.G62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4515854.4%86 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T135c800$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed T143c794.92$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd303…9c76backed Gen.G53c788.24$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.942560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce2…e5fdbacked Gen.G62c774.98$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed T125c772.46$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.785547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a8…0aaabacked T126c767.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5870%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95f7…6c70backed Gen.G60c760.57$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc04…a7abbacked T141c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…0f3fbacked T123c727.3$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…d7bdbacked Gen.G16c707.81$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed T126c700.42$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.221330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed T128c697$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8132…828dbacked T128c681.76$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bc…504abacked T123c669.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked Gen.G65c664.86$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7511662.9%73 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a0…169fbacked Gen.G51c659.96$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fed…fa70backed Gen.G62c648.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.794040%16 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed T173c642.12$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.756058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f9…2d70backed Gen.G50c638.03$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.411225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…3674backed T141c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed T123c600.01$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1860053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cd…af7abacked T154c598.54$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Gen.G59c540$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.12933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1c9…d707backed Gen.G67c539.87$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.722774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa9…ee90backed T140c522.2$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.