MLB · resolved market

Orioles vs. Blue Jays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b59d732ca5738d7504e1cc9673541a1c46491eef3a2b5306be97f700916967

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Blue Jaysof Orioles, Blue Jays
Resolved: Sep 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,009,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,066,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,168 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles	46c	610,789$279,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279,471.84	380	43.4%165 W · 215 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Orioles	46c	140,798$64,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,645.47	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays	54c	100,000$54,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,000	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays	54c	99,028$53,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,553.07	359	52.4%188 W · 171 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays	54c	94,316$51,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,187.54	1,328	51.4%682 W · 646 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays	54c	82,000$44,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,499.96	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays	54c	74,503$40,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,271.22	452	48.2%218 W · 234 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays	54c	53,000$28,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,380	358	54.5%195 W · 163 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays	54c	40,000$21,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,399.98	482	54.4%262 W · 220 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays	73c	37,222$27,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,015	171	56.1%96 W · 75 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays	55c	33,198$18,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,050.25	117	59%69 W · 48 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays	54c	23,885$12,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,925.27	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays	55c	21,443$11,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,674.59	631	52.6%332 W · 299 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles	46c	18,294$8,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,502.27	91	35.2%32 W · 59 L	-12.0wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays	55c	17,840$9,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,028	1,591	50.3%801 W · 790 L	+68.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays	54c	15,000$8,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,900	302	55.6%168 W · 134 L	+14.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays	55c	13,882$7,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,255.72	263	55.5%146 W · 117 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays	62c	10,220$6,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,925.8	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays	54c	9,500$5,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,370	1,151	49.2%566 W · 585 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays	56c	7,007$3,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,083.92	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Blue Jays	50c	6,848$3,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,448.01	218	47.7%104 W · 114 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays	55c	5,810$3,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,614.65	380	47.6%181 W · 199 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Blue Jays	54c	5,555$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.3	84	64.3%54 W · 30 L	+8.7wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays	55c	5,101$2,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,276.1	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…7f76backed Orioles	45c	5,023$2,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,260.35	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	932	40.5%377 W · 555 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Blue Jays	44c	4,778$2,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,683.39	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays	54c	4,629$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,129.34	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays	44c	3,389$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,889.01	149	66.4%99 W · 50 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays	55c	3,354$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.14	1,132	48.9%553 W · 579 L	-16.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Blue Jays	56c	2,652$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,166.79	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles	45c	2,441$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.29	602	49.5%298 W · 304 L	+10.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays	55c	2,207$1,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.42	387	51.9%201 W · 186 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles	47c	2,174$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.46	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays	56c	2,096$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.24	207	47.8%99 W · 108 L	-11.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays	55c	1,968$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.53	1,097	50.1%550 W · 547 L	+5.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Blue Jays	54c	1,798$971 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826.92	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays	45c	1,556$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855.56	1,213	40.5%491 W · 722 L	-32.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Blue Jays	54c	1,500$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	65	36.9%24 W · 41 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Blue Jays	55c	1,500$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Blue Jays	55c	1,331$732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599	577	44.7%258 W · 319 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays	55c	1,145$630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.25	733	52.4%384 W · 349 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa468…816ebacked Orioles	46c	1,093$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.28	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	958	50%479 W · 479 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Orioles	45c	940$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423	207	48.8%101 W · 106 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Orioles	45c	900$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	301	51.5%155 W · 146 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Blue Jays	56c	882.79$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.79	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays	55c	727$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.15	1,293	46.6%603 W · 690 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Blue Jays	56c	715$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.6	170	45.3%77 W · 93 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Blue Jays	55c	713.6$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.12	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Orioles	45c	600$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays	54c	599$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.54	519	53.2%276 W · 243 L	-24.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Blue Jays	55c	595$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.75	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jays	54c	562.98$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.97	277	51.3%142 W · 135 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays	54c	560.22$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.7	1,212	52.1%631 W · 581 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Orioles	46c	551.35$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.62	1,078	46.3%499 W · 579 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Blue Jays	55c	545.45$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.45	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles	58c	539.71$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.96	2,274	43.2%983 W · 1,291 L	+43.8wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Orioles	55c	529.33$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.83	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays	51c	500$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	424	52.1%221 W · 203 L	+15.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Blue Jays	55c	500$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles	46c	500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	959	30%288 W · 671 L	-24.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	260	55%143 W · 117 L	+21.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Orioles	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	57	56.1%32 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays	56c	350.43$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.19	809	55.5%449 W · 360 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Orioles	44c	350$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	130	52.3%68 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x029b…1f75backed Blue Jays	55c	344.38$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.97	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+3.8wins	+0.20per pick	54cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Blue Jays	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-10.5wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays	56c	284.84$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.7	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Blue Jays	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044c…a476backed Blue Jays	55c	272.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.59	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Orioles	41c	270$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.7	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles	46c	265.77$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.47	764	56%428 W · 336 L	+32.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Orioles	44c	260$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	331	40.2%133 W · 198 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7845…1730backed Blue Jays	55c	254.55$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.55	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Orioles	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Orioles	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed Blue Jays	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Blue Jays	49c	210.94$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.61	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays	54c	210.69$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.91	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Blue Jays	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	575	45.9%264 W · 311 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Blue Jays	43c	207$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.99	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays	56c	200$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88	927	54.9%509 W · 418 L	-19.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Blue Jays	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…e142backed Blue Jays	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Blue Jays	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Blue Jays	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0957…502ebacked Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcd…8364backed Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…05fabacked Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…cd16backed Blue Jays	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4463…7565backed Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ade…3223backed Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9788…ad77backed Orioles	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-6.7wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Orioles vs. Blue Jaysthis page
NRFI: Orioles vs. Blue JaysYes won
Orioles vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)Blue Jays won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event