MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b937a3e1c22c80e8b59c6f8367651ff352bfd27f7a00b11006c768b325a7902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Tigers, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,229,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,279,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,229,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 688 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Tigers | 59c | 510,792$301,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301,975 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 41c | 240,462$98,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,484.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mariners | 43c | 238,401$103,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,874.73 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 42c | 207,269$88,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,215.88 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Tigers | 59c | 157,991$93,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,214.51 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Mariners | 43c | 126,869$54,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,068.63 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Tigers | 57c | 112,720$64,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,133.43 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 48c | 110,586$52,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,898.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mariners | 42c | 110,000$46,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,799.96 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tigers | 47c | 101,874$47,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,511.89 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Tigers | 57c | 96,325$54,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,905.34 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers | 58c | 91,554$53,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,101.32 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Mariners | 41c | 75,000$30,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,250 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Tigers | 57c | 75,000$42,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,899.9 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Tigers | 57c | 73,387$41,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,830.47 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Tigers | 57c | 69,900$39,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,843 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 39c | 63,651$25,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,514.53 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 57c | 60,682$34,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,341.2 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mariners | 42c | 54,989$23,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,893.55 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mariners | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 57c | 45,850$26,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,328.49 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 43c | 40,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Mariners | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,800 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Mariners | 43c | 36,437$15,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,769.21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,099.98 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 42c | 27,320$11,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,724.02 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Tigers | 53c | 23,388$12,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,361.15 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners | 79c | 21,243$16,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.87 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers | 56c | 16,529$9,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,217.76 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Tigers | 59c | 14,492$8,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,511.6 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 45c | 13,857$6,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.54 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Tigers | 56c | 13,621$7,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,638 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Tigers | 53c | 11,922$6,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,348.63 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Tigers | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Tigers | 54c | 10,061$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.55 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Mariners | 44c | 10,010$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…e3bcbacked Tigers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 41c | 9,755$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,755.63 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 73c | 9,471$6,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners | 53c | 8,002$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.11 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tigers | 34c | 6,898$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 79c | 6,466$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.01 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mariners | 60c | 6,435$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Mariners | 41c | 6,420$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.32 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Mariners | 47c | 5,600$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Tigers | 57c | 5,281$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 74c | 4,613$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Tigers | 58c | 4,500$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Tigers | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Tigers | 57c | 4,341$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.45 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tigers | 58c | 4,186$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.79 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Tigers | 16c | 4,104$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.92 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…e036backed Mariners | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Tigers | 13c | 4,000$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 43c | 3,899$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.35 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners | 40c | 3,750$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…fdcabacked Tigers | 58c | 3,621$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…eaedbacked Mariners | 43c | 3,583$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…1502backed Tigers | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mariners | 46c | 3,331$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.36 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Mariners | 43c | 3,274$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…b4c9backed Tigers | 57c | 3,146$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 57c | 3,099$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Mariners | 43c | 2,903$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.95 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Tigers | 55c | 2,834$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Mariners | 58c | 2,633$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.03 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…08a3backed Tigers | 58c | 2,585$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mariners | 43c | 2,516$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.34 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…9bc8backed Tigers | 58c | 2,507$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.67 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Tigers | 58c | 2,500$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Mariners | 69c | 2,500$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.28 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…b00abacked Mariners | 43c | 2,328$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Mariners | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Mariners | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tigers | 15c | 2,260$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 43c | 2,184$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.05 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Mariners | 41c | 2,100$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Tigers | 58c | 2,075$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 58c | 2,065$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.3 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 46c | 2,050$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Tigers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Mariners | 43c | 1,970$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.9 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 41c | 1,950$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 62c | 1,913$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Tigers | 48c | 1,798$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.65 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Mariners | 71c | 1,770$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mariners | 41c | 1,764$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.73 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Tigers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 16c | 1,630$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 43c | 1,549$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.18 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Mariners | 40c | 1,500$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 57c | 1,444$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.06 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 75c | 1,368$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…867ebacked Mariners | 43c | 1,325$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Marinersthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.