MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd7185cfa77598774f1c3908994e4fbae9dccd114ecbc45d589c0d1688e7ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Detroit Tigers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 149,297$91,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,674.66 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 43,431$16,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,547.99 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 21,185$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,262.06 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 18,044$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,037.26 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 10,317$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.61 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 10,005$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 10,000$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 6,305$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.95 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 4,699$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.75 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…b2cfbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,939$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 3,645$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.55 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,061$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.01 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,900$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 1,510$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.9 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,180$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 925$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.37 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Detroit Tigers | 40c | 510$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Detroit Tigers | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Detroit Tigers | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Detroit Tigers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 38c | 43.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…cc97backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tigers vs. MarinersMariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.