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MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,609,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,635,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,609,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies46c495,727$226,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226,578.091,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Dodgers55c407,225$223,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183,823.569440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Phillies45c266,081$120,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,521.966653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers53c159,999$85,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,399.7154451.1%278 W · 266 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Phillies53c143,212$75,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,907.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Dodgers52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,0006058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Phillies49c66,255$32,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,464.781963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Phillies50c59,811$29,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,975.9611759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Phillies6c58,564$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,771.4746239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies48c50,973$24,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,412.5660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Dodgers47c47,429$22,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,137.2214153.9%76 W · 65 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Phillies35c46,976$16,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,2342951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers52c43,701$22,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,848.491,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies50c42,296$21,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,147.9848254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers50c40,136$20,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,966.5925453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Phillies53c38,756$20,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,593.329146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers53c34,743$18,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,210.745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers48c33,957$16,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,5291,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Phillies10c28,811$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.4796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers63c28,665$18,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,601.0630255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies2c25,132$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.7140629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers50c23,388$11,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,670.899462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers52c21,712$11,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,494.0943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Phillies54c20,593$11,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,13011743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.9555053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Dodgers50c18,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers54c16,469$8,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,575.771,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers47c16,090$7,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,455.3117136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Dodgers49c11,543$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,867.854445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Phillies45c11,523$5,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,185.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers51c11,451$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9502…994abacked Phillies45c11,394$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,127.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b13…cd27backed Dodgers54c11,072$5,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,093.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Dodgers54c10,004$5,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,601.791145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers53c10,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,75071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies0c9,530$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.768762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Phillies46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Dodgers49c8,744$4,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.54045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers52c8,160$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,916.813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Phillies46c8,043$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7002536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Phillies45c7,468$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360.47651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…eaedbacked Dodgers52c6,890$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers53c6,702$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,116.5673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Phillies49c6,700$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2837139.4%28 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Phillies45c6,674$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,029.924965.3%32 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Phillies41c6,308$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.297341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb46…8a9abacked Dodgers55c5,910$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8429…84f3backed Phillies46c5,901$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked Dodgers50c5,791$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.45580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…b207backed Dodgers54c5,779$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Phillies46c5,564$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.832445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies47c5,032$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.342,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb236…0ce5backed Phillies46c5,020$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30099549.9%497 W · 498 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Phillies45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.977349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phillies33c4,928$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.061,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Dodgers56c4,851$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,134.3810041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Phillies42c4,776$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.991681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+38.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcbac…105fbacked Dodgers55c4,610$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a34…5142backed Phillies46c4,600$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Dodgers55c4,555$2,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.769249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x726f…f876backed Phillies46c4,511$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Phillies46c4,500$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,07011544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e51…0548backed Phillies46c4,339$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Dodgers55c4,250$2,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.53145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers61c4,169$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.187753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies44c4,131$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.541,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers75c4,100$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02511456.1%64 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…3c32backed Phillies46c4,100$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers54c4,000$2,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3322142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies45c3,987$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.1720747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe212…d5f4backed Dodgers51c3,920$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.773138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Phillies49c3,871$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Phillies49c3,669$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c75…8e3fbacked Dodgers55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f82…5ba7backed Dodgers55c3,600$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6203100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Dodgers56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…6d10backed Phillies46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Phillies50c3,500$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7357548%36 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…0c3ebacked Phillies46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32b…0ea7backed Phillies47c3,337$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Phillies1c3,290$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies54c3,198$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.8817156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers54c3,059$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.721,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb90…87b7backed Dodgers55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Phillies47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies48c2,754$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.612,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Phillies33c2,711$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.1578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34e2…ff25backed Dodgers55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f1…09aabacked Dodgers55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…867ebacked Dodgers52c2,549$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9932042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf680…63eabacked Phillies46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Phillies45c2,300$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02595950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…55a2backed Phillies46c2,239$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Phillies18c2,234$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.034531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6619…46c2backed Phillies46c2,222$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…cb43backed Dodgers55c2,191$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers50c2,129$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.894057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf024…e543backed Dodgers55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.