MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6217f5d34f5e5d5dd699d2783af614aa1539245c28accca7f68fdc39840d887c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,609,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,635,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,609,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 46c | 495,727$226,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226,578.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Dodgers | 55c | 407,225$223,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,823.56 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Phillies | 45c | 266,081$120,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,521.96 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Dodgers | 53c | 159,999$85,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,399.71 | 544 | 51.1%278 W · 266 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Phillies | 53c | 143,212$75,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,907.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Dodgers | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Phillies | 49c | 66,255$32,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,464.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 50c | 59,811$29,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,975.96 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Phillies | 6c | 58,564$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.47 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 48c | 50,973$24,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,412.56 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Dodgers | 47c | 47,429$22,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,137.22 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Phillies | 35c | 46,976$16,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,234 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dodgers | 52c | 43,701$22,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,848.49 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 50c | 42,296$21,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,147.98 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dodgers | 50c | 40,136$20,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,966.59 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Phillies | 53c | 38,756$20,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,593.32 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 53c | 34,743$18,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,210.7 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 48c | 33,957$16,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,529 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 10c | 28,811$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 63c | 28,665$18,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,601.06 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Phillies | 2c | 25,132$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.71 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Dodgers | 50c | 23,388$11,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,670.89 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Dodgers | 52c | 21,712$11,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,494.09 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Phillies | 54c | 20,593$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dodgers | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.95 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Dodgers | 50c | 18,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 54c | 16,469$8,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,575.77 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Dodgers | 47c | 16,090$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,455.31 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Dodgers | 49c | 11,543$5,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,867.85 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Phillies | 45c | 11,523$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,185.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Dodgers | 51c | 11,451$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Phillies | 45c | 11,394$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b13…cd27backed Dodgers | 54c | 11,072$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Dodgers | 54c | 10,004$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 0c | 9,530$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Phillies | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Dodgers | 49c | 8,744$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Dodgers | 52c | 8,160$4,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.8 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Phillies | 46c | 8,043$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Phillies | 45c | 7,468$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.4 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…eaedbacked Dodgers | 52c | 6,890$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dodgers | 53c | 6,702$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116.56 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Phillies | 49c | 6,700$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Phillies | 45c | 6,674$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.92 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Phillies | 41c | 6,308$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.29 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…8a9abacked Dodgers | 55c | 5,910$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…84f3backed Phillies | 46c | 5,901$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Dodgers | 50c | 5,791$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…b207backed Dodgers | 54c | 5,779$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Phillies | 46c | 5,564$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.83 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 47c | 5,032$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.34 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…0ce5backed Phillies | 46c | 5,020$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Phillies | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Phillies | 33c | 4,928$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.06 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Dodgers | 56c | 4,851$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.38 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Phillies | 42c | 4,776$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.99 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…105fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 4,610$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…5142backed Phillies | 46c | 4,600$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 55c | 4,555$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.7 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…f876backed Phillies | 46c | 4,511$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Phillies | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…0548backed Phillies | 46c | 4,339$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Dodgers | 55c | 4,250$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dodgers | 61c | 4,169$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 44c | 4,131$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dodgers | 75c | 4,100$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…3c32backed Phillies | 46c | 4,100$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Dodgers | 54c | 4,000$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Phillies | 45c | 3,987$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.17 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Dodgers | 51c | 3,920$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.77 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Phillies | 49c | 3,871$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Phillies | 49c | 3,669$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c75…8e3fbacked Dodgers | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…5ba7backed Dodgers | 55c | 3,600$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Dodgers | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…6d10backed Phillies | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Phillies | 50c | 3,500$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…0c3ebacked Phillies | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…0ea7backed Phillies | 47c | 3,337$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phillies | 1c | 3,290$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 54c | 3,198$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.88 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers | 54c | 3,059$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.72 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…87b7backed Dodgers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Phillies | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 48c | 2,754$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 33c | 2,711$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.15 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e2…ff25backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…09aabacked Dodgers | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…867ebacked Dodgers | 52c | 2,549$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Dodgers | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked Phillies | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 45c | 2,300$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…55a2backed Phillies | 46c | 2,239$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Phillies | 18c | 2,234$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.03 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…46c2backed Phillies | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…cb43backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,191$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Dodgers | 50c | 2,129$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…e543backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Philliesthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.