MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbadb86acf5ed5a7009a4b5283fe88c8ac290b62e61ddc0b236ef6aa7f3459804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Red Sox, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,881,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,329,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,881,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xceab…e5d9backed Red Sox | 42c | 700,001$294,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294,000.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yankees | 58c | 504,995$293,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,697.9 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Yankees | 58c | 353,948$205,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148,658.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Red Sox | 42c | 300,000$126,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,999.98 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yankees | 58c | 204,942$118,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,903.73 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Yankees | 63c | 141,760$89,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,896.11 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 58c | 75,000$43,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 37c | 60,394$22,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,366.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 59c | 60,000$35,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,599.98 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Red Sox | 43c | 58,000$24,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,940 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Red Sox | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Red Sox | 1c | 47,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.81 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 60c | 46,113$27,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,530.19 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 65c | 41,180$26,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,262.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 38,384$15,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,937.28 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Sox | 40c | 34,181$13,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,816.13 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Yankees | 58c | 28,000$16,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,760 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 41c | 25,862$10,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,537.28 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Red Sox | 42c | 24,494$10,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,287.61 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Yankees | 61c | 24,474$15,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,439.88 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 58c | 22,222$12,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333.24 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 11c | 22,077$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.95 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Sox | 42c | 20,763$8,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,720.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Red Sox | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yankees | 58c | 16,480$9,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 59c | 16,000$9,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,559.97 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 41c | 15,293$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,335.34 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yankees | 58c | 15,000$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,249.98 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Red Sox | 41c | 14,634$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 41c | 13,844$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.43 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Red Sox | 38c | 13,591$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,164.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Yankees | 62c | 13,411$8,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yankees | 59c | 13,297$7,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yankees | 57c | 11,111$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.73 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yankees | 59c | 10,634$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.9 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…fea3backed Red Sox | 42c | 10,572$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yankees | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yankees | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669a…dd31backed Red Sox | 42c | 9,473$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yankees | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 66c | 8,819$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.16 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Yankees | 59c | 8,596$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…05a0backed Red Sox | 43c | 8,060$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Red Sox | 1c | 7,380$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 58c | 7,200$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.8 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yankees | 59c | 7,000$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.76 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Red Sox | 42c | 6,800$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b1…0f83backed Red Sox | 43c | 6,543$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Red Sox | 42c | 6,334$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Red Sox | 13c | 6,241$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 66c | 5,604$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.25 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 39c | 5,423$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.77 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 42c | 5,355$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…da41backed Yankees | 58c | 5,182$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Sox | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Red Sox | 25c | 4,736$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.14 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yankees | 57c | 4,660$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.61 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 44c | 3,937$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.24 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…eb55backed Red Sox | 41c | 3,900$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd8…65f3backed Yankees | 58c | 3,844$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 59c | 3,835$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…6633backed Yankees | 58c | 3,566$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 58c | 3,550$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.5 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…7d43backed Red Sox | 43c | 3,402$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Yankees | 66c | 3,226$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…d03abacked Red Sox | 2c | 3,201$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Red Sox | 9c | 3,190$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.32 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…994abacked Yankees | 58c | 3,170$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…a953backed Yankees | 60c | 3,168$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…fa38backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,856$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox | 2c | 2,798$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…dedfbacked Red Sox | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yankees | 64c | 2,759$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 41c | 2,556$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yankees | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Red Sox | 39c | 2,479$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,428$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Red Sox | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…b562backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 42c | 2,202$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Yankees | 59c | 2,114$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Red Sox | 31c | 2,013$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.63 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Red Sox | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e62…ec52backed Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Red Sox | 40c | 1,861$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…e6d2backed Yankees | 61c | 1,861$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yankees | 59c | 1,750$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yankees | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…fff7backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,702$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.86 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Red Sox | 42c | 1,550$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yankees | 58c | 1,502$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.72 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yankees | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Yankees | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Yankeesthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.