MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79f25c1293f2d9185b7108a1fbd6907235edd89f4e006f604c4a7372a791627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,643,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,634,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,643,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 63c | 1,796,696$1,130,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130,597.89 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Pirates | 37c | 899,822$332,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566,888.17 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 37c | 681,120$252,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429,105.4 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 37c | 63,000$23,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,660 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 61c | 48,490$29,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,578.88 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 39c | 48,338$18,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,486.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 59c | 47,707$28,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,520.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 58c | 39,322$22,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,726.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 39c | 38,161$14,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,278 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pirates | 39c | 38,092$14,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,236.38 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Reds | 61c | 31,000$18,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,910 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pirates | 38c | 30,008$11,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,505 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 43c | 25,000$10,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 37c | 20,003$7,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,602 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 60c | 19,130$11,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pirates | 72c | 17,636$12,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.19 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Reds | 39c | 16,991$6,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,702.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 39c | 15,266$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,243.77 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pirates | 39c | 12,215$4,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,451.4 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 39c | 11,551$4,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 66c | 10,350$6,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Reds | 61c | 10,251$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,219.99 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 40c | 8,425$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.77 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 40c | 8,010$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.52 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Reds | 60c | 7,621$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Pirates | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 40c | 6,280$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.08 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 66c | 5,744$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 42c | 5,512$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,201.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…27e8backed Pirates | 39c | 5,409$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Pirates | 39c | 4,134$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Pirates | 38c | 4,000$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Reds | 61c | 3,461$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.98 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Pirates | 69c | 2,966$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 65c | 2,878$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Pirates | 38c | 2,700$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Pirates | 38c | 2,700$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Pirates | 40c | 2,465$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Pirates | 40c | 2,462$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.07 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Reds | 61c | 2,458$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.38 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Reds | 61c | 2,409$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…82d9backed Reds | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1235backed Reds | 61c | 2,192$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Reds | 61c | 2,180$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 40c | 2,122$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Reds | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Reds | 61c | 2,043$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 33c | 2,027$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.32 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 31c | 2,001$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.66 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Pirates | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Reds | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e7…f4f6backed Pirates | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…de86backed Reds | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pirates | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…985abacked Reds | 61c | 1,966$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Reds | 61c | 1,829$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Pirates | 39c | 1,619$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.53 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Reds | 61c | 1,600$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Pirates | 39c | 1,560$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Reds | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 51cpaid | +88%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Pirates | 39c | 1,330$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.01 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Reds | 39c | 1,154$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 39c | 1,100$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Pirates | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.65 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Reds | 61c | 1,018$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Reds | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Reds | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 57c | 967.23$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.7 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 28c | 951.9$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 38c | 947.28$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pirates | 66c | 931.98$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.07 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Pirates | 39c | 909.1$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.55 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…6fd3backed Pirates | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Pirates | 38c | 893.49$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.96 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Pirates | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Pirates | 38c | 850$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Reds | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Pirates | 40c | 805$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8602…9706backed Reds | 61c | 803.28$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed Reds | 61c | 791.47$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 41c | 761$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Pirates | 38c | 749.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4807…48b2backed Reds | 61c | 739.89$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Pirates | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Pirates | 62c | 700.01$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Pirates | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…98f8backed Pirates | 39c | 676.82$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Pirates | 40c | 675.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Reds | 60c | 665$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed Reds | 61c | 632.74$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates | 40c | 629$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.