TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Tigers, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,343,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,336,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,343,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers40c580,583$232,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232,623.0438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Tigers40c516,197$206,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,478.769440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees60c242,996$145,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,403.463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees60c219,095$131,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,599.7535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees60c115,000$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,999.9344456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yankees60c99,888$59,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,955.25450%27 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees60c84,448$50,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,098.511,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees60c75,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yankees60c56,457$33,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,582.725453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Yankees60c50,000$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00017156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yankees60c43,650$26,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,579.999666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Yankees65c39,961$25,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,070.3111345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers40c32,557$13,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,022.3456451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees60c20,739$12,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,295.7438047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yankees60c18,530$11,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,412.0423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Tigers41c17,417$7,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,102.39135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees60c17,361$10,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,956.71,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees61c13,283$8,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,215.921,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yankees60c12,298$7,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.3616551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Tigers40c11,106$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.415353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Tigers17c10,652$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.8421847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Tigers5c9,730$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5614055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees60c7,585$4,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.2338751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees61c7,471$4,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.91,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Yankees59c7,000$4,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8706547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees60c6,935$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.5573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees60c6,117$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.62,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees60c5,436$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.481,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Yankees59c5,347$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.398861.4%54 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Yankees60c5,092$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Tigers41c5,009$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.692133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Yankees58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.9528258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yankees60c3,833$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.3369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Yankees59c3,603$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.232556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers41c3,444$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.0498149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers42c3,400$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42838949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Tigers27c2,500$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.4793240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Yankees60c2,409$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.6511947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees60c2,227$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.4420747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Yankees60c2,218$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3713946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Tigers23c2,076$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.5157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yankees60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Yankees60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Tigers42c1,984$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.33345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Yankees59c1,875$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.8324253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers40c1,846$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.5625551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees66c1,708$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.641,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Tigers47c1,555$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.0731254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Tigers40c1,501$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Tigers37c1,232$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.8235854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Yankees60c1,202$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.810154.5%55 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Tigers1c1,170$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Tigers40c1,092$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.812436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yankees60c1,075$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4308749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Tigers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Tigers42c993.52$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers37c920.42$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.399,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yankees60c916.67$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6720748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Tigers40c871$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Tigers41c853.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers41c799.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tigers40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c4…a9e7backed Tigers14c743.9$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Tigers41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees60c666$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.41,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Tigers3c664.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2727213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees65c656.22$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yankees60c650$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606653%35 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees60c630$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25243654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yankees65c595$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.533855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees60c578$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.226650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers40c557.08$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8351347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers41c510$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Yankees60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2006949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa8…2071backed Yankees60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa5…be51backed Tigers42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Tigers42c476.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9956351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Yankees59c476.17$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.235756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Tigers40c460.43$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.174027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7526…5faabacked Tigers42c386.9$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x029b…1f75backed Yankees59c386.9$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.631973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Yankees65c380.66$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yankees60c336$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees60c334.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8180955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3323060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Yankees60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3321853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yankees55c308$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.619747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daa…eb0fbacked Tigers41c304.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…bfacbacked Yankees59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yankees60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2408…9de9backed Yankees60c257.35$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.942437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Tigers42c250$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10435245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.