MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1416ca529edfc4be1d7bfa9b6953c724476895cccd74a9b471b3463f750cacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Orioles, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 38c | 260,856$99,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,372.58 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 134,185$83,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,990.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 62c | 77,324$47,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,383.12 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 43,479$26,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,756.96 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 56c | 33,902$19,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,858.45 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Orioles | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 62c | 22,196$13,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,434.48 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 31c | 18,607$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.98 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 38c | 12,285$4,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,589.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 50c | 11,789$5,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,887.95 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles | 40c | 7,825$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.18 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 36c | 6,996$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,452.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 6,022$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 62c | 6,000$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.49 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 5,850$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 67c | 5,318$3,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.56 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Orioles | 38c | 5,010$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Orioles | 61c | 4,987$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 4,845$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Blue Jays | 62c | 3,408$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 38c | 2,073$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.68 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Orioles | 64c | 1,790$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.39 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 33c | 1,787$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 65c | 1,610$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.77 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 58c | 1,530$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 1,516$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.13 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 38c | 1,234$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.91 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Orioles | 71c | 1,052$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.3 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.09 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Orioles | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 38c | 999.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 66c | 991.62$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.47 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jays | 61c | 982$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Orioles | 63c | 935.04$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Blue Jays | 5c | 916.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.83 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Orioles | 38c | 897.99$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 57c | 837$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.09 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 27c | 822.15$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.59 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 775$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.25 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 38c | 764.47$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.55 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 38c | 715.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 39c | 699.87$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.95 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 39c | 692.31$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 39c | 572.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 60c | 529$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Blue Jays | 22c | 498.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 35c | 492.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Blue Jays | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…f21ebacked Orioles | 73c | 445.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jays | 14c | 429$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Orioles | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Blue Jays | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 62c | 321$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843b…2673backed Orioles | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Blue Jays | 33c | 276.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 62c | 267.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blue Jays | 61c | 251$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5438…0e67backed Orioles | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Blue Jays | 62c | 221.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Orioles | 70c | 210.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Blue Jays | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…cd16backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…7565backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…ad77backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…218cbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…4a5ebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…716ebacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…289fbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…5c0bbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…142bbacked Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…b3a6backed Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…7b28backed Orioles | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Orioles vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.