TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

LoL: BLG vs TES

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BLGof BLG, TES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed BLG47c36,061$16,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,106.8421645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed TES49c28,904$14,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,240.749247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cac…610ebacked TES19c18,401$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed TES49c12,383$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12019448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed TES27c10,504$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.6627345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed BLG70c9,303$6,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.495100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed TES9c8,455$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.123545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked TES53c8,262$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.255565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed TES70c8,069$5,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,648.0723852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed BLG33c8,059$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3914047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed TES50c8,000$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.747152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked TES46c7,522$3,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.26955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked BLG52c6,852$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,298.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed BLG54c5,300$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4382075%15 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked TES25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25021424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed TES19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked TES71c4,557$3,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.061637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed TES39c3,345$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed BLG30c3,201$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf8…5d1dbacked TES64c2,956$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TES47c2,951$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.3315452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BLG49c2,867$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4427…9016backed TES17c2,740$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked TES36c2,611$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.6322056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked TES54c2,495$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.18956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed TES45c2,362$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.0464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed TES26c2,076$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.793551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked BLG50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0104151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed BLG55c2,003$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.311241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked TES46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked BLG54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9201,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed BLG57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BLG41c1,809$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.5560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed BLG53c1,602$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.9426344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BLG52c1,560$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed TES2c1,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed BLG70c1,432$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.572937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed TES3c1,417$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed BLG31c1,362$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.6932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked TES5c1,359$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.564822.9%11 W · 37 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-49.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed TES72c1,335$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.2816349.7%81 W · 82 L-19.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed TES48c1,313$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked BLG66c1,278$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.896451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked BLG51c1,085$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7713050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf1…3db0backed TES2c1,080$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked BLG54c1,030$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked BLG48c1,009$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.474736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed BLG52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed TES45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BLG53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked BLG52c945$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.251145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed BLG43c937.23$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed BLG55c905.36$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.36785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed TES44c903.41$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7746340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed TES45c862.41$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.67714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ae…84cebacked TES49c840.71$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed BLG50c778.67$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2412131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf44…0bbdbacked TES46c758.93$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…c55fbacked TES55c743.85$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed TES41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9375…1dbdbacked BLG54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TES55c689.33$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.131,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25b…0151backed BLG30c670$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4691225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked TES47c665.96$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3135129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed TES48c650$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210538.1%40 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked BLG30c610$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4273458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TES45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed BLG41c591$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed BLG34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.244100%4 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+141.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1d2…492ebacked BLG64c551.81$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…51ddbacked BLG36c547.32$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed BLG52c510.58$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5810238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed BLG48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26028351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e46…16a5backed BLG40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed BLG30c496$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed BLG54c421.26$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.233652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed BLG52c410.7$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.142470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed TES68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27224139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed BLG52c385.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed BLG54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3768753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a25…0243backed BLG43c366.67$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.67520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed TES57c347.83$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked TES28c329.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6847055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked TES43c320.79$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6726351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7613…5ecebacked BLG33c320$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed BLG41c316.84$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.868833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked BLG45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1659838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked TES48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed TES24c270.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed TES49c261.53$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274639.1%18 W · 28 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36cc…e776backed TES4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked BLG59c238$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.541,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked BLG48c228.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb25e…39aabacked TES48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed TES48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6245…67f0backed TES49c205.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed BLG51c204.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BLG53c203.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7785446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8498…0e94backed BLG34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked TES45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.