TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

LoL: BLG vs TES

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BLGof BLG, TES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$446,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$462,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbde3…4a49backed BLG50c64,544$32,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,272.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed BLG51c54,640$27,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,917.188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed TES50c49,215$24,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,604.521645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked BLG75c30,486$22,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,697.855145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed BLG51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.974639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked BLG50c24,213$12,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,106.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc5…ba19backed TES50c23,999$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed TES52c21,718$11,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,389.2823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed TES51c17,681$9,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,079.733545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BLG50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0007152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked TES49c7,650$3,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,710.66955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d59…d20fbacked TES40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed BLG52c5,925$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.2519448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked BLG53c5,916$3,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BLG37c5,422$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.851,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TES60c5,268$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.11,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked TES49c5,011$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed BLG25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7501936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed TES50c4,600$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed BLG73c4,389$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.531181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed TES49c4,074$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.217249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed TES49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked TES16c3,979$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1611146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed TES49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked TES31c2,843$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.426351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4006…9f86backed BLG74c2,566$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4427…9016backed TES74c2,220$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked TES47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TES5c1,955$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.735,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked TES47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed TES38c1,700$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.224139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed BLG36c1,633$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.13551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed BLG26c1,503$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.9932425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed TES35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52518650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed BLG23c1,479$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.5327345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TES49c1,437$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.2315452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed BLG38c1,395$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87016335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbb…050cbacked BLG52c1,338$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.098956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed TES50c1,288$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-71.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cac…610ebacked TES40c1,282$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed TES49c1,263$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.4645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BLG63c1,248$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.858354.2%45 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed BLG50c1,080$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a25…0243backed TES3c1,074$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-53.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed BLG55c980.33$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.73785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+58.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed BLG25c963.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.89812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed BLG52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5421251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked TES78c916.73$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.314151.2%21 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2a…5ccebacked TES31c883.48$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed TES49c871.43$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42726251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TES46c848.83$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.91,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed BLG47c806.3$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.082740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed BLG68c764.65$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked TES36c750.02$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.012441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked TES52c746.94$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.092850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d2…492ebacked BLG56c730.69$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…9377backed TES28c710$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BLG52c700$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ad…d561backed TES16c683.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed BLG27c600$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43846340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked BLG35c600$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked TES48c599.53$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.068838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed BLG28c565.54$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.512131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed BLG26c550.77$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.575530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed TES45c533.51$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…31d3backed TES63c504.59$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.451330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed TES45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed TES51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed BLG49c457.44$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.735100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed TES50c446$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2231241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed TES45c434$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5623351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed TES50c419.61$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.613154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed BLG49c405$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.543450%17 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed TES75c400.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.4868753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaba9…a356backed TES75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked TES49c391.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1925129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked BLG26c384.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.422725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de7…2d9abacked TES53c378.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed BLG50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1887243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed TES54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked BLG39c304.62$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3647055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d2…4f20backed TES46c299.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked BLG52c273.07$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0720855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed TES72c269.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9442057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked BLG53c252$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked TES49c250$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.522056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked BLG51c228.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.062524%6 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ca…7929backed TES71c220$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85d…49eabacked BLG54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed TES49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9826344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed TES50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked BLG51c196.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.156850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed BLG40c195.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0118624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked BLG47c191.68$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.08887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed TES61c182.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked BLG54c181.7$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5810947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked TES16c180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd81…2bc2backed BLG57c165$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked BLG77c156.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.28977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TES47c155.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.281,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.