MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82209b174e13b8ae27eb348396cf4b34db81d303c9f1da76dead09b7135600f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Mariners, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,170,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,171,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,170,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 992 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Mariners | 47c | 919,742$434,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434,423.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 280,000$148,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,600 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mariners | 31c | 172,523$53,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,613.02 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 44c | 102,479$44,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,615.76 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 53c | 102,000$53,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,440 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blue Jays | 55c | 100,001$55,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 96,100$49,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,128 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 78c | 89,857$70,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,447.83 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 79,944$42,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,573.68 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Mariners | 48c | 65,395$31,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,389.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 70c | 48,627$33,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,766.83 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 47c | 46,480$22,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,019.1 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 67c | 46,083$30,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,085.04 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 53c | 42,661$22,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,050.44 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 52c | 41,000$21,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,680 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 4c | 35,033$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Mariners | 48c | 32,790$15,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,720.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…9345backed Mariners | 25c | 32,501$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,279.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Blue Jays | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.94 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blue Jays | 52c | 23,381$12,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,117.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 23,271$12,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,937.33 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 64c | 17,936$11,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.86 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 16,943$11,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mariners | 1c | 16,212$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Blue Jays | 53c | 15,057$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 24c | 14,092$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.93 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 2c | 12,992$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.62 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blue Jays | 53c | 12,500$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Blue Jays | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.11 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Mariners | 25c | 10,391$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,054$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725.17 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…f531backed Mariners | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…598fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 9,870$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Blue Jays | 54c | 9,100$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…95e2backed Mariners | 1c | 8,373$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 46c | 8,192$3,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,768.31 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 7,969$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.71 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 1c | 7,820$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…000bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 7,430$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Mariners | 35c | 7,236$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 53c | 6,500$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…5befbacked Mariners | 47c | 6,300$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 6,070$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.56 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…3bd8backed Mariners | 46c | 6,000$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Blue Jays | 71c | 5,629$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blue Jays | 53c | 5,400$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Mariners | 47c | 5,337$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 13c | 5,201$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.36 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d618backed Mariners | 12c | 5,021$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 52c | 5,000$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.01 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 1c | 4,934$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 4,925$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Mariners | 48c | 4,917$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Mariners | 22c | 4,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 6c | 4,430$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.01 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Blue Jays | 77c | 4,393$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Mariners | 47c | 4,270$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…04abbacked Mariners | 47c | 4,100$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 4,060$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.01 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Blue Jays | 69c | 3,999$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.23 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mariners | 21c | 3,950$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.84 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 68c | 3,851$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Mariners | 17c | 3,691$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 3,666$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 3,600$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners | 25c | 3,562$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.4 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners | 11c | 3,549$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.9 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Mariners | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 75c | 3,452$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.41 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 25c | 3,390$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 61c | 3,197$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Mariners | 39c | 3,169$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Mariners | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,846$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 46c | 2,776$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 47c | 2,775$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.48 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 1c | 2,667$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 78c | 2,585$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.19 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 9c | 2,495$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Mariners | 2c | 2,423$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 2,396$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.66 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,250$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.99 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Mariners | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce8…4a44backed Mariners | 9c | 1,980$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Mariners | 23c | 1,961$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…5ba3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.