MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b1832924a621e18cced93f770038c39c73395a4e741c7ff6e33d780055b8619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $936,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 51c | 316,042$161,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,181.19 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Padres | 49c | 307,271$150,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,953.72 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Cubs | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,999.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 49c | 129,757$63,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,176.11 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 49c | 70,004$34,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,702.14 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Padres | 50c | 62,103$30,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,230.06 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Padres | 66c | 39,846$26,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,580.82 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 44c | 28,307$12,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.46 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Padres | 48c | 23,761$11,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,393.48 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Cubs | 53c | 19,720$10,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,378 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Padres | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cubs | 50c | 13,137$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.54 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…d274backed Padres | 67c | 12,519$8,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Cubs | 51c | 10,200$5,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Padres | 49c | 10,100$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Padres | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.96 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 36c | 7,382$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.37 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 54c | 7,025$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.55 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Cubs | 52c | 6,740$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 28c | 6,617$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 35c | 6,365$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.68 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.95 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Padres | 79c | 5,518$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…3fd2backed Cubs | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Padres | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cubs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cubs | 36c | 4,586$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 23c | 4,455$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.15 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Padres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Padres | 49c | 3,825$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.63 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 48c | 3,763$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.74 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 21c | 3,665$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Cubs | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…8478backed Padres | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Cubs | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 73c | 3,421$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.09 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cubs | 13c | 3,259$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 2c | 3,220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Padres | 62c | 3,166$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 49c | 3,020$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cubs | 51c | 3,000$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.25 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 52c | 2,998$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Cubs | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 51c | 2,550$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.5 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Cubs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Cubs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 69c | 2,402$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.97 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Padres | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Cubs | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Padres | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…47c3backed Padres | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Padres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Padres | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cubs | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Cubs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Padres | 70c | 1,919$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.26 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Cubs | 27c | 1,880$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Padres | 62c | 1,761$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.48 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 29c | 1,740$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.91 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Padres | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Cubs | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 49c | 1,533$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.61 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Cubs | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Padres | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Cubs | 10c | 1,251$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Cubs | 10c | 1,245$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Padres | 48c | 1,207$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cubs | 35c | 1,145$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 4c | 1,036$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…bafcbacked Padres | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…7975backed Padres | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Padres | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Cubs | 33c | 977.66$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9964…caa7backed Cubs | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…4e65backed Cubs | 52c | 946.15$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…5db7backed Cubs | 52c | 940.38$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…8030backed Cubs | 15c | 922.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Cubs | 41c | 857.22$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…523ebacked Cubs | 52c | 763.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 19c | 742$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cubs | 11c | 738.5$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cubs | 35c | 679.7$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Cubs | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Padres | 49c | 596.12$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.02 | 182 | 57.7%105 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Cubs | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Cubs | 24c | 523.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Padres | 67c | 506.15$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Cubs | 4c | 482.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Padres | 63c | 479.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Padres | 60c | 462.85$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Cubs | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Cubsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.