MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf97a1420a810787dc6ffa2810f1d1d91977267e542b8685ecd21e622567a46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Blue Jays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,606,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,962,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,606,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Mariners | 50c | 227,119$112,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,464.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 47c | 188,943$89,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,282.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Mariners | 49c | 175,062$85,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,281.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Mariners | 51c | 156,328$80,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,055.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Blue Jays | 49c | 127,447$62,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,421.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 50c | 125,000$62,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,500 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mariners | 49c | 119,819$58,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,107.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Mariners | 49c | 107,975$52,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,067.28 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Blue Jays | 51c | 97,778$49,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,866.8 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 47c | 86,558$40,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,689.79 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 51c | 75,000$38,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,249.96 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Blue Jays | 51c | 68,271$34,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,818.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 30c | 65,134$19,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,617.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 51c | 60,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.99 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 30c | 50,056$15,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,029.26 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed Blue Jays | 52c | 38,446$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 50c | 36,472$18,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,235.82 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mariners | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000.01 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Blue Jays | 52c | 28,846$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 63c | 22,452$14,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,195.13 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Mariners | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,399.97 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 51c | 19,587$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.37 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…84d8backed Blue Jays | 71c | 19,540$13,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,873.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 48c | 17,921$8,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.51 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Blue Jays | 49c | 17,695$8,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,724.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 17,354$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mariners | 63c | 15,973$10,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,927.38 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mariners | 54c | 15,910$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,290.49 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 52c | 13,845$7,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,587.37 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Mariners | 49c | 12,500$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,424.97 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 51c | 11,449$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.06 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7682…07fdbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 11,381$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…afc6backed Mariners | 49c | 11,361$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,794.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Blue Jays | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.5 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Mariners | 52c | 10,988$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.45 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 49c | 10,963$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,591.27 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Blue Jays | 64c | 10,766$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890.36 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Mariners | 50c | 10,092$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blue Jays | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Blue Jays | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 48c | 9,804$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.94 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Blue Jays | 45c | 9,414$4,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 8,654$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Mariners | 49c | 8,653$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 36c | 8,254$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.8 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Mariners | 53c | 7,855$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,685.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 65c | 7,204$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.07 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Mariners | 66c | 6,733$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mariners | 50c | 6,603$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.78 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Mariners | 44c | 6,421$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.55 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Blue Jays | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mariners | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mariners | 49c | 5,641$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 5,598$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.18 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…0dbfbacked Mariners | 48c | 5,172$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Blue Jays | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mariners | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 52c | 4,500$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 4,402$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.01 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Mariners | 48c | 4,052$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.65 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Mariners | 49c | 4,050$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.5 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…d18dbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd690…8b62backed Mariners | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…c479backed Blue Jays | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…6a00backed Mariners | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners | 51c | 3,864$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.46 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…d506backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,860$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Blue Jays | 52c | 3,853$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Blue Jays | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…5d7bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 3,806$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 41c | 3,667$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Blue Jays | 12c | 3,619$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.5 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Blue Jays | 18c | 3,605$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Blue Jays | 51c | 3,521$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.92 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Mariners | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9a33backed Blue Jays | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…364dbacked Mariners | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Blue Jays | 3c | 3,430$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 51c | 3,400$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 31c | 3,211$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 1c | 3,093$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Mariners | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays | 57c | 3,040$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.31 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mariners | 48c | 3,000$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.31 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…6cf6backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,685$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…9b03backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,675$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 1c | 2,630$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 2,617$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.69 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…3de0backed Mariners | 49c | 2,543$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Mariners | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Mariners | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…e161backed Blue Jays | 52c | 2,450$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 48c | 2,400$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…9714backed Mariners | 49c | 2,354$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b65…71fbbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 2,296$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Marinersthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.