TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$365,340
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$381,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,340 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x467e…e2edbacked Yes28c191,735$53,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,291.921010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked No58c77,644$45,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,610.449020%18 W · 72 L-13.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed No57c63,727$36,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,376.436433.8%123 W · 241 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No58c35,169$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,769.126245.2%28 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No69c8,283$5,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.4417561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes21c3,635$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.217230.6%22 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf950…81d1backed Yes7c3,561$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Yes30c1,783$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.642839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No75c1,641$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.1612443.5%54 W · 70 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d44…c828backed Yes34c1,528$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.412450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c1,501$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1589810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes45c1,379$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.986453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Yes41c1,305$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.011,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No57c1,280$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5226360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Yes43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0916439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9237…e723backed Yes44c1,006$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016842.9%72 W · 96 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc04…a7abbacked Yes43c930.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6d…e803backed Yes18c880$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed Yes20c814.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…b9c6backed Yes43c719.95$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.195540%22 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Yes13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7190…02d8backed Yes26c668.77$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17660%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7213…f541backed Yes21c639.9$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked No76c610.98$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.84366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes6c595.16$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.665044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed No67c581$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No74c572$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.841145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c563.13$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2544128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6966…7a8dbacked Yes8c550$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cc…e776backed Yes18c506.83$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.922528%7 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x61a7…622dbacked Yes29c503.17$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016342.9%70 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe529…e7b1backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158769%60 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…3e4ebacked Yes18c470$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012143%52 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff77…4b76backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1156…0febbacked Yes38c450.28$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.111050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc230…6192backed No74c393.52$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked No60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.835149%25 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No76c325$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4816842.9%72 W · 96 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac5…1d84backed Yes8c298.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick35cpaid+84.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c04…03febacked Yes43c293.02$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No76c278.18$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Yes19c276$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a8…0aaabacked Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7570%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes20c243.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.321741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f9…2d70backed Yes17c220.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes24c205.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015543.9%68 W · 87 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x429d…39a7backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267516%12 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb850…a83abacked Yes41c194$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.54425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a07…05c1backed No70c189.67$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes15c187.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2640916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeaa…4577backed Yes12c169$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa33f…fedbbacked No58c156.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ac6bbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No57c149.98$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9910533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…d84ebacked No80c144.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.291384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick75cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes22c142.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7566116.5%109 W · 552 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c0…d8bebacked No69c141.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.223225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Yes39c136.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1931036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcebd…3769backed No80c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e49…9714backed Yes38c127.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Yes40c124.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018165.7%119 W · 62 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes24c123.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…947abacked Yes27c112.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe995…5891backed Yes11c111.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9805…610abacked Yes40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Yes16c100.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0830243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f52…0380backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385749.1%28 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2380%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7915…29febacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d5…b7dabacked Yes43c93.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.191414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed No58c93.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.242937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33ce…dea1backed Yes45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e66…7c4dbacked Yes38c81.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a0…5f52backed Yes42c76.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.962722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-55%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f22…be14backed Yes20c73.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed No59c68.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d97…3f76backed No80c67.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0816…377abacked Yes24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda5…531fbacked Yes26c62.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf978…cf69backed Yes27c55.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.087736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes22c52.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c44…688bbacked Yes29c50.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed No79c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.121859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2119…cfc0backed No66c45.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked No57c45.44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe12f…bbaebacked Yes43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes39c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0412361.8%76 W · 47 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d0…db19backed No60c35.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No60c35.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.064755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.