TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,506 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c11,980$65 inLost-$64.6889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes3c6,190$202 inLost-$202.274119.5%8 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes3c4,810$144 inLost-$143.9611358.4%66 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked Yes2c2,359$57 inLost-$56.625311.3%6 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-58.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20dd…cac9backed Yes3c2,009$52 inLost-$52933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes2c1,614$37 inLost-$3710616%17 W · 89 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes2c1,500$33 inLost-$3360053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa400…3816backed Yes2c1,333$30 inLost-$301010%1 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be5…81f0backed Yes3c1,030$28 inLost-$27.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid+252.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…ae42backed Yes3c1,027$28 inLost-$287054.3%38 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4670…ea1dbacked Yes3c825.3$25 inLost-$25.474643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes3c500$13 inLost-$12.54050%20 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d0…f0ffbacked Yes2c500$10 inLost-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.