Lol · resolved market
Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bbd6c702617b00e8e828038ed2f2dcf5572711043b2fcc8f1971226e6abaa13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Yes | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Yes | 27c | 2,922$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.36 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c6…a3abbacked Yes | 12c | 2,547$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 74c | 1,556$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.78 | 147 | 61.9%91 W · 56 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…e23bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,100$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Yes | 23c | 870$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…2d45backed Yes | 39c | 846.32$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…4a0bbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 68c | 671.97$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 26c | 660$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 24c | 654$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 26c | 584.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 552.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…bd18backed Yes | 25c | 501.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 74c | 501$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.18 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f52…0380backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Yes | 22c | 462.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed Yes | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…a80abacked Yes | 22c | 363.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 29c | 336.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…9fcfbacked Yes | 30c | 328.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…a83abacked Yes | 25c | 321.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 26c | 321.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 73c | 284.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…bdbabacked Yes | 25c | 264.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…a95bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…b361backed Yes | 25c | 198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…8d2cbacked Yes | 30c | 164.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa36…3671backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 71c | 147.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…3816backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…531fbacked Yes | 9c | 141.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…3f59backed Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cc…b804backed Yes | 32c | 126.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 76c | 123$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…ecafbacked Yes | 29c | 121.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…947abacked Yes | 25c | 118.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…9085backed Yes | 26c | 117.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…e852backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7915…29febacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…79b1backed Yes | 27c | 92.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 26c | 86.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Yes | 21c | 80.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…3611backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…ed9dbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…0e71backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f3…2fd0backed Yes | 27c | 74.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…3d95backed Yes | 28c | 70.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…377abacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0c…711bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…a040backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 80c | 46.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…c45fbacked Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 41.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 233 | 57.1%133 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…5129backed No | 77c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will T1 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?this page
- Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Cloud9 win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will FlyQuest win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will G2 Esports win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?Yes won
- Will Hanwha Life Esports win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
- Will Movistar KOI win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.