TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c08…947a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3969.2%27 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$167.4
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$38.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+64.6%+$31.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$42.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$60
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$22
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$60
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$98.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$48
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+207.4%+$76.73
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+71.2%+$103.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$251.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$50.5
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+43%+$31.44
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$12.54
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104%+$598
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rowe vs. Kobacked Ko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$44.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.