MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eda92a5e24ec24e8ab93038b63c8a05ff3f7d8874ceeff1d77a6126da3a8f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Japan, South Korea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $798,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,924 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked South Korea | 25c | 40,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.94 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked South Korea | 11c | 31,802$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…0a8dbacked South Korea | 10c | 30,745$3,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,181.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked South Korea | 10c | 23,220$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.12 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed South Korea | 11c | 20,532$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed South Korea | 20c | 16,198$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed South Korea | 21c | 14,376$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.95 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked South Korea | 19c | 9,343$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.49 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed South Korea | 5c | 9,128$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked South Korea | 19c | 7,976$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…80febacked South Korea | 16c | 6,472$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed South Korea | 20c | 6,277$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.58 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed South Korea | 19c | 6,139$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.21 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked South Korea | 19c | 5,971$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.77 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked South Korea | 15c | 5,362$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.27 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed South Korea | 20c | 5,145$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.63 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…95d4backed South Korea | 12c | 4,648$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Japan | 76c | 4,595$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked South Korea | 11c | 4,482$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac81…c181backed South Korea | 4c | 4,458$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed South Korea | 14c | 4,397$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed South Korea | 1c | 3,668$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed South Korea | 12c | 3,523$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.15 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked South Korea | 9c | 3,345$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Japan | 76c | 3,288$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.81 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked South Korea | 16c | 3,161$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Japan | 78c | 2,787$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.05 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e1…645fbacked Japan | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked South Korea | 9c | 2,423$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.82 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed South Korea | 12c | 2,422$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed South Korea | 3c | 2,414$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…f401backed South Korea | 12c | 2,411$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed South Korea | 9c | 2,354$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d2afbacked South Korea | 9c | 2,175$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…5d2dbacked South Korea | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…ff2cbacked South Korea | 9c | 2,143$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked South Korea | 9c | 2,013$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…0ab2backed South Korea | 20c | 1,955$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc7…daa3backed South Korea | 11c | 1,888$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed South Korea | 10c | 1,866$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…5889backed South Korea | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed South Korea | 8c | 1,818$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…afc6backed South Korea | 17c | 1,793$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…0b08backed South Korea | 12c | 1,764$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed South Korea | 11c | 1,704$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.88 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…baf7backed South Korea | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…6eb7backed South Korea | 9c | 1,559$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…4c82backed Japan | 75c | 1,479$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…8dd2backed South Korea | 2c | 1,357$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked South Korea | 2c | 1,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…9efcbacked South Korea | 12c | 1,224$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…5a83backed Japan | 77c | 1,200$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8844…26b5backed South Korea | 10c | 1,179$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked South Korea | 9c | 1,120$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe10…c5cbbacked South Korea | 17c | 1,112$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed South Korea | 10c | 1,111$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.87 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…402cbacked South Korea | 2c | 1,073$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed South Korea | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…68c7backed South Korea | 6c | 1,066$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed South Korea | 8c | 1,026$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed South Korea | 12c | 1,012$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…200ebacked Japan | 75c | 1,001$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed South Korea | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked South Korea | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…cab4backed South Korea | 8c | 986$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…9b3dbacked South Korea | 4c | 927.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…871dbacked South Korea | 6c | 917.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Japan | 78c | 910.56$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked South Korea | 11c | 899.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +11.9wins | +0.60per pick | 35cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 79+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dd…fc5abacked Japan | 75c | 898.55$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Korea | 16c | 842.79$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked South Korea | 12c | 839.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…c509backed South Korea | 6c | 820.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed South Korea | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Japan | 78c | 799.98$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Japan | 74c | 746.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed South Korea | 12c | 735.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked South Korea | 24c | 733.89$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed South Korea | 11c | 732.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed South Korea | 12c | 700$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked South Korea | 12c | 699.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe115…8c0ebacked South Korea | 17c | 684.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed South Korea | 3c | 683.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…050ebacked South Korea | 15c | 666.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Japan | 78c | 646.56$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.54 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Japan | 76c | 628.98$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9fc8backed South Korea | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…9ac2backed South Korea | 7c | 602.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…a122backed South Korea | 7c | 600.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked South Korea | 11c | 600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed South Korea | 9c | 599.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked South Korea | 12c | 560.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf033…56e4backed South Korea | 9c | 558.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…4ecfbacked South Korea | 17c | 550$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…4186backed South Korea | 19c | 539.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed South Korea | 14c | 529.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…cf69backed South Korea | 8c | 516.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…298fbacked South Korea | 5c | 514.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…3337backed South Korea | 9c | 504.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…5aa0backed South Korea | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.