World Politics · resolved market
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa78f78b43783c2e366fd348e8fb0932e97d0adfc7eef26e0498aa54c25be0d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94eb…809dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 35c | 4,542$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 59c | 3,469$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.67 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…947abacked Yes | 47c | 3,181$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 2,855$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.32 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,594$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 54c | 2,409$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.62 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…1305backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…b1fabacked No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +275.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…c7b4backed Yes | 36c | 1,995$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d71…87d5backed Yes | 22c | 1,948$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c5…0e60backed Yes | 34c | 1,849$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…cf79backed Yes | 19c | 1,510$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,501$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 58c | 1,480$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…6097backed Yes | 15c | 1,316$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…1384backed Yes | 8c | 1,262$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…41ffbacked Yes | 33c | 1,100$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed No | 65c | 1,094$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…cf42backed No | 78c | 1,025$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c1…c7a9backed No | 79c | 1,000$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed No | 53c | 1,000$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked No | 77c | 887.27$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 63c | 804.85$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 71c | 803$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…8ef2backed Yes | 69c | 743.48$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +415.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…baa8backed Yes | 33c | 704.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 703.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed Yes | 9c | 670.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…be0abacked No | 60c | 642.71$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…443ebacked Yes | 10c | 619.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 552.84$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed No | 79c | 533.92$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…083fbacked No | 77c | 525$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 55c | 517$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…ee79backed Yes | 14c | 508.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…3055backed Yes | 62c | 489.14$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 71c | 452.87$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…fa80backed No | 59c | 443.53$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed No | 66c | 442.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf367…7118backed Yes | 78c | 441.83$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8894…ecebbacked Yes | 24c | 440$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed No | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Yes | 11c | 415.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…a00bbacked Yes | 47c | 402.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346e…b9afbacked Yes | 35c | 376.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 7c | 375.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…5e44backed Yes | 28c | 359.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 57c | 352.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…4b25backed No | 37c | 345$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…d0a7backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 27c | 305$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…07d1backed Yes | 4c | 299.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 295.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…db4abacked Yes | 70c | 285.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb1…d265backed Yes | 71c | 280.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 32c | 268$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 7c | 215$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +382.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…6a11backed No | 79c | 214.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…2558backed Yes | 10c | 209.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…90aabacked No | 73c | 206.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…9be6backed Yes | 65c | 203.44$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…1f4cbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Yes | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…3690backed Yes | 13c | 195.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed No | 75c | 189.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…9bc0backed Yes | 15c | 185$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa0…d756backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 8c | 176.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 25c | 165$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…1c8abacked Yes | 77c | 150.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…9ce4backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…8c8bbacked Yes | 24c | 143$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…9fe5backed Yes | 70c | 142.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…d53bbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ed…32d2backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…7c01backed No | 57c | 141.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 139.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…ab64backed Yes | 12c | 134.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 76c | 132.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…cbccbacked No | 75c | 131.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…a2efbacked No | 77c | 129.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 128.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…7af3backed Yes | 24c | 120.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb8…66fdbacked No | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ed…a350backed Yes | 42c | 119.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +410.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 119$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Yes | 13c | 111.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…cb31backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 23c | 106.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…8384backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…35e5backed No | 75c | 99.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…30dbbacked Yes | 20c | 99.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…aaecbacked Yes | 67c | 97.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.