TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x765b…1a00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$129.45
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+82%+$82.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.18
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$40.61
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs MGN Vikings Esports (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+93%+$92.96
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$56.93
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$77.26
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolsterbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.25
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+123.4%+$88.05
OpenAI browser by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$81
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+175.5%+$379.41
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.3
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.11
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$315.21
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$283.94
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$237.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+203.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. Youbacked You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Amazon acquire streaming rights to UFC next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+28.1%+$19.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked BFX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China win the 2025 International Math Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.