World Politics · resolved market
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1225522fa305552930584883385bf4bec36d7c28d5a0c82434af32972d6e74f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $304,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 10c | 69,796$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.03 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 12c | 20,515$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked No | 9c | 15,047$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.35 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 11c | 14,284$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.57 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 12,771$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed No | 11c | 12,383$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ef90backed No | 11c | 9,491$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 11c | 8,694$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.39 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed No | 9c | 8,692$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed No | 11c | 8,416$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 10c | 6,204$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.38 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 9c | 6,019$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.72 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…b99fbacked No | 12c | 5,271$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 13c | 4,817$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.07 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…4422backed No | 12c | 4,637$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.79 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed No | 14c | 4,424$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.4 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 12c | 3,878$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 13c | 3,716$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 10c | 3,612$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked No | 12c | 3,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 13c | 3,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 10c | 2,700$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…010abacked No | 9c | 2,175$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked No | 9c | 2,080$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked No | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…8cf4backed No | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…a34bbacked No | 10c | 1,641$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…112fbacked No | 14c | 1,624$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3df7backed No | 11c | 1,521$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed No | 9c | 1,511$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…6dacbacked No | 6c | 1,451$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 7c | 1,450$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 15c | 1,339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 7c | 1,309$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 12c | 1,299$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 13c | 1,108$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…9b2ebacked No | 14c | 1,076$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 11c | 1,059$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 11c | 999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 9c | 920.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 11c | 900.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a8…7e95backed No | 12c | 831.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…712abacked No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed No | 11c | 729.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 13c | 700$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 16c | 699.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed No | 21c | 640$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked No | 13c | 625.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 11c | 555$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…ec0cbacked No | 9c | 509.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…20c8backed No | 10c | 501.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…b1fabacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +275.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…e6babacked No | 10c | 434$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed No | 10c | 363.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 355.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ee…5ea5backed No | 15c | 355.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…6b06backed No | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…daecbacked No | 10c | 325.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…0836backed No | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d74…09ffbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 14c | 252.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8663…b280backed No | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +129%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked No | 9c | 219.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked No | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 14c | 200.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed No | 14c | 194.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +1,619.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…d56abacked No | 10c | 190.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…91fbbacked No | 12c | 188.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 11c | 185.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 182.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…f3fdbacked No | 9c | 169.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 11c | 167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…ba3dbacked No | 16c | 125.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…1997backed No | 12c | 119.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 11c | 114.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed No | 9c | 110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…d39abacked No | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…423bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76eb…8028backed No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…e5b5backed No | 13c | 88.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 88.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…7ff4backed No | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…6e9ebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3857backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 76c | 48.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.