TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6780…e6ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: AI, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category AI at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2825%7 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 0–5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.8%+$11.56
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.81
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+239.3%+$58.96
Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+739.7%+$307.5
Kweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.56
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+170.4%+$108.4
25% South Korea tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.3
Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.88
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.37
Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.54
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.92
Will Han Duck-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.24
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.62
Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$535.1
Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.44
Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.95
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+89.1%+$24.54
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+162.5%+$33.55
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.5
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.99
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.47
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Colts vs. Bengals backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Bills vs. Bears backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.16
Dolphins vs. Lions backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Titans vs. Falcons backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Giants vs. Bills backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.56
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+120.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will FC Anyang vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$8.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.