NHL · resolved market
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7078a8c56baf79cf77a6b2073f978d9b33bd33379936416a316d24aa3b7910cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes | 12c | 14,553$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.45 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 47c | 4,941$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.53 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…2f75backed Yes | 9c | 4,735$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 42c | 3,760$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.79 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 3,730$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 40c | 3,609$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.09 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 51c | 3,406$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 15c | 3,068$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.32 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…8807backed Yes | 62c | 2,427$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 7c | 1,972$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 52c | 1,543$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.82 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 67c | 1,509$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.54 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 1,470$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed No | 55c | 1,450$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,399$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 1,375$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.67 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 1,334$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7a36backed Yes | 57c | 1,182$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,032$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…d93ebacked No | 56c | 976.39$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 973.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…e31cbacked No | 58c | 959.04$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 21c | 943.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 65c | 923$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 888.82$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 60c | 887.79$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 44c | 843.89$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked No | 78c | 757.5$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…827abacked No | 66c | 722.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +361.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 10c | 695.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 55c | 690$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.17 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 70c | 649.31$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed No | 56c | 629$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.16 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…9ac3backed Yes | 16c | 624.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 80c | 583$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed No | 54c | 573.66$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 539$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.52 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 45c | 522.11$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 44c | 514.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…ff90backed Yes | 43c | 513.82$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…f5f6backed No | 58c | 513.14$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 5c | 500.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4257…43bbbacked Yes | 45c | 477.34$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 49c | 455$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…e09bbacked Yes | 50c | 454.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 63c | 435.21$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…530abacked No | 57c | 424.04$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 43c | 413.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 53c | 411.82$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…5b24backed No | 55c | 410.51$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 10c | 400.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 10c | 391.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…5f03backed Yes | 9c | 377.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…4a12backed Yes | 46c | 371.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 359.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 54c | 334.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…566cbacked Yes | 17c | 317.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…3abebacked No | 36c | 293.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 286.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 78c | 263.39$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes | 11c | 246.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 8c | 240.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 60c | 233.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 43c | 231.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 55c | 217.35$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 62c | 215.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…d3b8backed No | 54c | 208$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…1e2ebacked Yes | 58c | 194.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 25c | 182.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 162.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 162.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 57c | 158.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 28c | 157.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 155.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 70c | 149.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…399ebacked Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 139.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked No | 20c | 137.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…58adbacked Yes | 39c | 129.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…ba4fbacked Yes | 14c | 126.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…7e89backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ab…4135backed No | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…ae8dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 43c | 106.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 72c | 104.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…229bbacked No | 80c | 100.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 71c | 100.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…1891backed Yes | 12c | 95.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…753fbacked No | 57c | 94.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…ff63backed Yes | 46c | 93.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…5ea3backed Yes | 57c | 87.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?this page
- Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Logan Stankoven win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes won
- Will Patrik Laine win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.