NHL · resolved market
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x853c61fdf3db42b24be3df69cd39a641fc3790bd6f34d3a277781084f7c0447b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 32c | 8,750$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940.07 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…2f75backed Yes | 66c | 7,627$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 73c | 5,162$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.01 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 4,969$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.45 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 36c | 3,420$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 2,342$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 2,333$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 13c | 1,901$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.24 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,598$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.43 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…bb53backed Yes | 80c | 1,560$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…83d5backed Yes | 45c | 1,481$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 63c | 1,430$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.84 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 29c | 1,362$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed No | 46c | 1,283$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 1,212$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 34c | 1,121$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 32c | 1,046$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.84 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 66c | 998.9$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 73c | 984.5$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.09 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…e58fbacked Yes | 74c | 855.27$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 22c | 665.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7389…0e94backed No | 25c | 649.56$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 22c | 635.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 31c | 556$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.7 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 38c | 550.86$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.91 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 75c | 541.82$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 65c | 540.59$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 21c | 496.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 33c | 439.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…3307backed Yes | 5c | 434.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 77c | 424.37$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.46 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 405.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Yes | 26c | 379.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 78c | 368.87$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 43c | 355$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 70c | 335.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 6c | 327.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked No | 27c | 315.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 43c | 295.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 40c | 290.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 35c | 284.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 231 | 48.9%113 W · 118 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…1a39backed Yes | 46c | 278.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 76c | 275.18$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 47c | 271.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…827abacked Yes | 13c | 266.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +361.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 73c | 263.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 29c | 261.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked No | 23c | 254.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 17c | 245.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 7c | 239.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 53c | 225.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 38c | 223.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369c…eab1backed No | 35c | 222.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 35c | 212.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.71 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…a380backed Yes | 39c | 207.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Yes | 14c | 200.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 43c | 188$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 46c | 182.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 45c | 181.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 32c | 174.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 73c | 165.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…bdc7backed Yes | 36c | 164.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 32c | 162.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 147.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 145.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 143.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…9c69backed Yes | 36c | 138.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 21c | 136.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 41c | 136.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…988dbacked Yes | 35c | 134.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 121.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 73c | 120$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 15c | 116.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 65c | 107.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 36c | 104.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 48c | 104.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…5efabacked Yes | 12c | 104.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 72c | 102.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 101.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 13c | 101.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…5771backed Yes | 36c | 100.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes | 32c | 97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 11c | 96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 69c | 91.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 53c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 85.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +5.9wins | +0.45per pick | 24cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…4e67backed Yes | 78c | 83.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 43c | 81.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed No | 72c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 76.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?this page
- Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Logan Stankoven win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Patrik Laine win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.