NHL · resolved market
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c1f3a017da0328c125772c43bef4c69bfb48d6ecd413e7f7128920914e4130
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Yes | 41c | 14,267$5,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,872.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 21c | 9,528$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…240bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,970$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 3,837$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 45c | 3,233$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.27 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,706$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.05 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 29c | 2,170$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.26 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 68c | 1,986$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921d…efb8backed Yes | 19c | 1,664$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 1,527$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 1,499$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 1,494$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 1,434$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 1,286$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 1,196$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 1,081$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…193abacked No | 72c | 1,001$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 944.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 7c | 906.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 849.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 9c | 793.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 9c | 642.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 19c | 542.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 53c | 487.19$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…fba9backed No | 42c | 462.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.55 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 64c | 454.76$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 450.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 52c | 445.81$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 42c | 442.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c49…8686backed Yes | 19c | 431.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Yes | 18c | 418.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 55c | 417.09$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 10c | 399.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7389…0e94backed Yes | 18c | 391.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…abd5backed Yes | 3c | 356.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Yes | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 328.02$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Yes | 16c | 313.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 16c | 313.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…2f75backed No | 69c | 290.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 283.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…91dabacked Yes | 14c | 280.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 53c | 276$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 51c | 274.63$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 62c | 267.58$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…e7f1backed Yes | 45c | 267.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…80adbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 13c | 260$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 22c | 257.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…f226backed Yes | 22c | 253.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 54c | 250.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 52c | 248.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6080…3abebacked Yes | 13c | 240.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…3179backed Yes | 32c | 219.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 14c | 213.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 8c | 208$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 55c | 202$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 53c | 197.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes | 33c | 189$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 76c | 172.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…330ebacked Yes | 58c | 171.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 30c | 160.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…8807backed Yes | 50c | 159.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 40c | 154$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…c9b2backed Yes | 8c | 149$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 144.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 31c | 144$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 27cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…7e41backed Yes | 19c | 134.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 67c | 134.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 31c | 131.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 21c | 130.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 129.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 16c | 123$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 57c | 119.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 103.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f17…39b1backed Yes | 25c | 100.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed Yes | 39c | 97.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 95.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 12c | 92.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6e8fbacked Yes | 54c | 91.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 30c | 91.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 70c | 91.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 66c | 89.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 12c | 89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 41c | 87.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…106abacked Yes | 49c | 84.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Yes | 26c | 80.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…4d85backed Yes | 38c | 80.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…6459backed Yes | 51c | 71.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…910bbacked Yes | 53c | 71.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…8357backed No | 58c | 68.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…0270backed Yes | 30c | 67.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c80…faf6backed Yes | 37c | 65.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Yes | 56c | 64.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 57c | 64.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…958cbacked Yes | 50c | 60.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…82afbacked Yes | 19c | 59.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?this page
- Will Clayton Keller win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Logan Stankoven win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Macklin Celebrini win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
- Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?Yes won
- Will Patrik Laine win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.