AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d2f4940373a13567e53de6fd2015186c298249329a5f03771a6b160f5e4a7d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,207,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…6466backed No | 68c | 57,211$38,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,903.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072e…054cbacked Yes | 32c | 57,211$18,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,903.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…b63bbacked Yes | 69c | 50,582$34,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,680.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…651bbacked No | 31c | 50,582$15,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,680.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…74cebacked Yes | 66c | 26,201$17,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,818.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed No | 42c | 21,522$8,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,972.52 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 78c | 17,296$13,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 12,009$3,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.28 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…42d6backed No | 28c | 10,000$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.18 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 38c | 7,945$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.64 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 63c | 6,799$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.24 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a95…2d06backed Yes | 75c | 5,782$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 50c | 5,550$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.01 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 67c | 5,249$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.43 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Yes | 67c | 4,725$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 33c | 4,579$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.36 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 39c | 4,228$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.98 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 44c | 4,202$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 4,200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…a2edbacked Yes | 78c | 4,200$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 3c | 4,073$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 3,892$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.21 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 70c | 3,795$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.16 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 7c | 3,498$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.11 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 2,915$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 74c | 2,890$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 61c | 2,672$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…9158backed Yes | 67c | 2,631$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5200backed Yes | 68c | 2,619$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…92cbbacked Yes | 78c | 2,420$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 58c | 2,397$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.1 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…7ff6backed Yes | 41c | 2,330$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 19c | 2,127$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 63c | 2,084$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 24c | 2,022$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.83 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 65c | 2,015$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.2 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…aeb5backed No | 64c | 1,950$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 31c | 1,926$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.7 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 7c | 1,797$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,631$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc62…a2c9backed No | 7c | 1,608$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…5e68backed No | 10c | 1,512$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,438$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.21 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…0020backed No | 11c | 1,412$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,396$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,396$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.64 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 74c | 1,346$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…72dfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,345$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 69c | 1,268$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…0ff0backed Yes | 55c | 1,222$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…3181backed Yes | 73c | 1,216$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,211$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.27 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed Yes | 65c | 1,166$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed No | 13c | 1,137$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 7c | 1,130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…e10abacked Yes | 78c | 1,080$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…160ebacked No | 2c | 1,068$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…e4a8backed No | 5c | 1,064$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed No | 23c | 999.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…c89abacked No | 11c | 956.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4086…c7fcbacked No | 10c | 892.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 69c | 869.47$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 74c | 847$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…9f84backed No | 23c | 812.7$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e4…d44ebacked No | 22c | 797.33$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 45c | 750$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 24c | 731.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.12 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Yes | 58c | 721.08$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 69c | 720.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b37…6962backed Yes | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 4c | 698.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 18c | 658.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 594.03$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.58 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…1e7cbacked No | 53c | 568.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf960…ba50backed No | 12c | 560$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…2054backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 78c | 555$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 80c | 540.26$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…79d3backed No | 3c | 540.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 20c | 522.45$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 15c | 500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb82…9f37backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…d4c3backed Yes | 79c | 496$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…f11cbacked No | 42c | 489.02$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…78bcbacked Yes | 42c | 478.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 18c | 477.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 64c | 477.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 3c | 471.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 5c | 464.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 64c | 464.31$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…4bcfbacked Yes | 77c | 455.22$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…ba6abacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…86e9backed Yes | 50c | 443.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.