AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5c12010762d72819add78f2030ffc7e65b8296896527e5e2087d7ac2b42d3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $890,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $890,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0190…be5abacked Yes | 2c | 40,773$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 36,418$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.84 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 31,005$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.18 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 8c | 26,720$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…e653backed Yes | 20c | 24,549$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…cf17backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…de56backed Yes | 18c | 15,033$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 3c | 13,165$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a14…2f5cbacked Yes | 39c | 12,769$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…f9dfbacked Yes | 1c | 11,984$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…fb05backed Yes | 10c | 10,980$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,600$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…c9b9backed Yes | 13c | 10,328$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 10,203$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…e4a8backed Yes | 7c | 10,193$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 9,016$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,466$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e4…d44ebacked Yes | 10c | 7,913$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dc…528fbacked Yes | 6c | 7,506$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 8c | 7,405$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…1b9dbacked Yes | 14c | 7,331$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…ee2dbacked Yes | 8c | 7,232$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes | 3c | 7,171$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 4c | 6,580$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.14 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…f5fcbacked Yes | 5c | 6,519$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…2966backed Yes | 9c | 6,441$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808e…1c51backed Yes | 14c | 6,265$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…0e8bbacked Yes | 18c | 6,143$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,183$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,178$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f5…e83cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,050$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…cecdbacked Yes | 9c | 5,030$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…9915backed Yes | 2c | 4,951$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af6…a11abacked Yes | 11c | 4,823$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 4,662$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…1526backed Yes | 1c | 4,580$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…0455backed Yes | 14c | 4,405$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 4,337$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 8c | 4,306$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748f…f6e5backed Yes | 4c | 4,061$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…f00bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,940$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…176cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,892$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 3,771$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…83b3backed Yes | 11c | 3,492$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…c458backed Yes | 1c | 3,369$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 3,103$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.27 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 5c | 3,061$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 6c | 3,017$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 3c | 2,693$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…8a39backed Yes | 2c | 2,662$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…93b8backed Yes | 2c | 2,502$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…d801backed Yes | 4c | 2,363$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430c…0c89backed Yes | 13c | 2,341$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,325$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31be…c9debacked Yes | 10c | 2,251$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 2c | 2,243$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 1c | 2,060$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…3c2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,056$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…c666backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 3c | 1,984$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…2e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,818$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 21cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787e…df93backed Yes | 4c | 1,793$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…917abacked Yes | 6c | 1,760$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Yes | 12c | 1,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ab9ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,652$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…12d3backed Yes | 6c | 1,627$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…6da6backed Yes | 11c | 1,626$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 1c | 1,577$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…6f37backed Yes | 4c | 1,542$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 7c | 1,539$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 13c | 1,526$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked Yes | 7c | 1,452$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…969ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,434$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,387$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…4ab1backed Yes | 3c | 1,368$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…93e7backed Yes | 15c | 1,361$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,360$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…34bebacked Yes | 1c | 1,348$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…84f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,347$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…93e9backed Yes | 2c | 1,239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…017ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,226$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 2c | 1,206$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 12c | 1,201$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Yes | 11c | 1,200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…6554backed Yes | 2c | 1,162$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…5e68backed Yes | 4c | 1,151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…3445backed Yes | 11c | 1,113$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…a367backed Yes | 2c | 1,095$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 5c | 1,090$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…6ef7backed Yes | 2c | 1,078$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295d…5cbcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…233bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,033$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 10c | 1,015$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Yes | 3c | 1,009$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 2c | 977.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a11…33f5backed Yes | 5c | 929.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.