AI · resolved market
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df97e2172cb226d6faf9c83f6ee8c503ca9f74356c13a8ebeab128cda656aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $606,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $418,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 1c | 31,519$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 30,305$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.2 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 23,817$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.76 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…5088backed Yes | 10c | 20,779$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 23c | 19,308$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5200backed Yes | 14c | 18,821$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7e…c200backed Yes | 20c | 17,229$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…a2c3backed Yes | 16c | 16,013$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.17 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 10,046$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.6 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ea39backed Yes | 1c | 9,297$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 23c | 9,255$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.39 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee55…0020backed Yes | 4c | 9,108$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 5c | 8,752$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Yes | 23c | 7,331$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 8c | 7,016$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.94 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 5c | 6,989$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2263…4e26backed Yes | 4c | 6,132$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,716$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…1751backed Yes | 4c | 5,528$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…9bcbbacked Yes | 4c | 5,209$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…ea4dbacked Yes | 20c | 5,140$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…6f37backed Yes | 5c | 4,793$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 1c | 4,753$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,550$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…a69ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,440$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,412$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…1767backed Yes | 6c | 4,251$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 79c | 4,074$3,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.82 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3899…452ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,921$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 1c | 3,789$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 7c | 3,770$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.16 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…83d5backed Yes | 1c | 3,652$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…176cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc12…ce48backed Yes | 3c | 3,296$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…d6debacked Yes | 13c | 3,123$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 2,966$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 2,932$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…88dabacked Yes | 27c | 2,767$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.07 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…9ebabacked Yes | 3c | 2,756$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 24c | 2,739$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…e4a8backed Yes | 7c | 2,710$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 4c | 2,652$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…6ef7backed Yes | 1c | 2,610$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc381…f141backed Yes | 17c | 2,287$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,287$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…4cd8backed Yes | 12c | 2,183$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…906ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aaa…7f26backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 1,992$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…8df3backed Yes | 9c | 1,931$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…ce98backed Yes | 3c | 1,913$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…749dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,872$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 8c | 1,854$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…5823backed Yes | 4c | 1,852$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…1788backed Yes | 8c | 1,687$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,627$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,624$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,591$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de7…183cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…8019backed Yes | 4c | 1,481$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 4c | 1,399$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…c302backed Yes | 11c | 1,380$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c6…b145backed Yes | 6c | 1,359$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…8a39backed Yes | 1c | 1,260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 1,252$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…45a2backed Yes | 8c | 1,236$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…5e68backed Yes | 4c | 1,235$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,231$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…93e7backed Yes | 2c | 1,215$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 2c | 1,203$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,183$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…cebebacked Yes | 8c | 1,140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…f00bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,114$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…8457backed Yes | 38c | 1,111$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 75c | 1,094$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.42 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 17c | 1,093$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2602…8426backed Yes | 4c | 1,086$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 21c | 1,058$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…5ae4backed No | 79c | 1,041$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,001$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3216backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 18c | 999.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 14c | 999.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 3c | 999.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 25c | 999$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 26c | 946.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 15c | 941.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 6c | 938.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked No | 72c | 938.24$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked Yes | 17c | 936.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…0455backed Yes | 5c | 930.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 25c | 926.15$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…96bdbacked Yes | 6c | 893.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…1343backed Yes | 3c | 888.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…fc1bbacked Yes | 3c | 881$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 4c | 864.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.