AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x373f075edebd123657ad3bfda91eaabd85d81af569f37d2694db902642adbccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $743,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $743,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 38,994$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.45 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 32,654$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.61 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 23,494$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 9c | 14,859$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.24 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…c4ccbacked Yes | 2c | 13,138$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.38 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 3c | 12,366$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2681…5313backed Yes | 1c | 12,311$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…12d3backed Yes | 1c | 11,639$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…ea39backed Yes | 1c | 11,440$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…160ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,303$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…6dacbacked Yes | 1c | 10,608$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,558$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…f9dfbacked Yes | 4c | 8,956$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…0db4backed Yes | 8c | 8,843$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,595$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…c78cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,350$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed Yes | 4c | 7,098$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…848ebacked Yes | 7c | 6,971$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787d…d2c8backed Yes | 1c | 6,715$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…5e68backed Yes | 2c | 6,548$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 2c | 6,445$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 6,281$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…d057backed Yes | 1c | 6,054$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ab…9774backed Yes | 4c | 5,641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 2c | 5,392$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 5,270$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…917abacked Yes | 5c | 5,140$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aaa…7f26backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…8109backed Yes | 2c | 4,419$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 4,365$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…8fe1backed Yes | 3c | 4,182$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 4,100$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 4c | 3,776$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.89 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 24c | 3,750$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,750$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…3c2abacked Yes | 4c | 3,685$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 2c | 3,678$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…906ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,664$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,525$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…e689backed Yes | 3c | 3,201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 5c | 3,068$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4086…c7fcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,892$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…1228backed Yes | 4c | 2,828$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…ddcbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,756$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…d848backed Yes | 4c | 2,589$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…ba70backed Yes | 1c | 2,446$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 8c | 2,424$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 6c | 2,195$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…9686backed Yes | 2c | 2,124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…7fc4backed Yes | 5c | 2,115$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,108$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914c…cdc3backed Yes | 5c | 2,096$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…7e8bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,067$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…f8a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,008$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 1c | 1,985$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,906$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…60c8backed Yes | 2c | 1,849$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 3c | 1,788$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c2…b65fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,657$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…fa50backed Yes | 5c | 1,646$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…9dcdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,639$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 1,626$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…2a29backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…2653backed Yes | 2c | 1,556$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 2c | 1,549$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed Yes | 3c | 1,541$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,540$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…a1ebbacked Yes | 13c | 1,539$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…15fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,528$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Yes | 2c | 1,518$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…4f5dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…072ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,495$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb8…3b9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,495$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 1,450$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…a69ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,436$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 71c | 1,395$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 33c | 1,362$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.87 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 67c | 1,338$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…8a39backed Yes | 2c | 1,291$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,220$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed Yes | 7c | 1,128$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…dc4abacked Yes | 2c | 1,115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…57aabacked Yes | 2c | 1,105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,058$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.45 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…28a5backed Yes | 2c | 1,052$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…1589backed Yes | 3c | 1,047$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470d…6f37backed Yes | 3c | 1,029$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…5d1ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -82%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Yes | 3c | 1,023$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…4e6ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,003$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…40d4backed Yes | 1c | 1,003$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…c666backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…c501backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…5cddbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9dc1backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 984.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.