TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc64f…3577

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.44
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.03
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 3 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.41
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.46
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92.66
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$18.92
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.33
Will Páfos FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+406.8%+$78.15
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$25.24
Will SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$24.25
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.15
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$60.26
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.13
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-7.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.74
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.31
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.57
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.48
Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+893.5%+$152.08
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+262.6%+$35.42
Will England vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+97.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+77%+$61.6
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.37
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$139.41
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tofiq Musayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+232.7%+$49.23
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$222.37
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+584.9%+$66.51
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$106.25
UFC 317: Will Oliveira Win By Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$13.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$17.78
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$26.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.2%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$153.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.