Champions League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x781552f853e1a55a5d558d816ea8f86680a29f3e3ec02588727ca89e98c3b332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 2c | 31,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 6c | 8,566$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.1 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 9c | 8,125$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 10c | 6,701$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.84 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 9c | 5,875$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 4,348$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 4,050$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7b…0c87backed Yes | 6c | 3,342$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 8c | 3,070$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.6 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,651$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,283$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 6c | 1,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 9c | 1,896$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…8f0dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,325$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 6c | 1,090$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…e3f5backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…9f15backed Yes | 10c | 1,008$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 8c | 876.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0f…7b7fbacked Yes | 6c | 767.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 7c | 697.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…509cbacked Yes | 8c | 600.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 8c | 591.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 107 | 17.8%19 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Yes | 8c | 549.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa8…debfbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 9c | 438.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 8c | 399.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 9c | 393.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 9c | 355.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e9…5c6fbacked Yes | 7c | 291.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 6c | 285.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…a487backed Yes | 9c | 260$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 9c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…eb6abacked Yes | 9c | 227.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…af5dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc2…0d0dbacked Yes | 9c | 209.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…5966backed Yes | 10c | 200.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…21f7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…8ebbbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…92c6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…8bbdbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 6c | 179.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe848…7348backed Yes | 10c | 170.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320a…4453backed Yes | 9c | 162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…c938backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3403backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +385.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…a270backed Yes | 10c | 101.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +440.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.