Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52ba5c967bc3b9fefc45a4fa2059e291c4d12906b8058b490d818685cd8b6ddd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 2,558$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.3 | 257 | 29.6%76 W · 181 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 2,274$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.23 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 11c | 2,254$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 14c | 1,097$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.31 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 10c | 700.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.31 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 470.63$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 349.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.21 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 10c | 106$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +589.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 51c | 95.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 20c | 88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 1 Sabah FK?this page
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 0 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 1 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 0 - 2 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 0 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 1 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 2 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 1 - 3 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 0 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 2 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 2 - 3 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 3 - 0 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 3 - 1 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 3 - 2 Sabah FK?No won
- Exact Score: Aarhus GF 3 - 3 Sabah FK?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.