Fifa International · resolved market
Will England vs. Japan end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4278d8af3b5ca690836801eb64d60f6c006fd254970550343e608f722af4165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 14,938$10,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.47 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 12,158$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.94 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 67c | 11,627$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 4,731$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 72c | 1,910$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 31c | 1,637$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.47 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…fad1backed Yes | 19c | 1,545$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,474$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.58 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 29c | 1,409$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.47 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 21c | 1,199$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…a880backed Yes | 22c | 1,170$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 907.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 77c | 893.38$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 34c | 747.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 652.13$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 33c | 606.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 28c | 596.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 524.4$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 445.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 23c | 441.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 420.89$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 400.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 66c | 372.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 30c | 334.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 312.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 259.09$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 234.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 234.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 23c | 222.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 78c | 221.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 22c | 218.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…c9c3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 71c | 189.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…f106backed Yes | 27c | 174.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…6cfbbacked No | 73c | 174.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Yes | 34c | 173.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 166.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 158.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 148.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 28c | 142.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 23c | 141.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 140.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 28c | 138.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…5ee1backed Yes | 18c | 130.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 31c | 129.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…0733backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed No | 71c | 107.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 16c | 104.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…d56bbacked Yes | 23c | 102.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b56…724fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 94.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 33c | 92.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7958…ef2fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 29c | 85.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 84.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…2c90backed Yes | 24c | 83.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 33c | 82.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…bfd4backed Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 28c | 75.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 22.2%32 W · 112 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Yes | 29c | 68.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 73c | 68.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 65.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…424fbacked Yes | 23c | 60.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 52.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 50.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 32c | 48.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 272 | 51.8%141 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 34c | 46.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 66c | 41.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England vs. Japan end in a draw?this page
- Will England win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.