Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1f669d4b43ef25decb44e6c56b726ccfe9fc78c3b9ae0c8399f032e522b9d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 15,883$7,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,662.93 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5b…a880backed Yes | 15c | 7,053$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,977.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 42cpaid | +143.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 6,772$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.2 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 6,722$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.53 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a74abacked Yes | 17c | 6,361$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +311.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 16c | 5,840$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.4 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 3,606$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.62 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 3,097$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.55 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 15c | 2,501$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.93 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes | 15c | 2,350$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.71 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 2,270$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.29 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Yes | 16c | 1,902$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.26 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…f586backed Yes | 80c | 1,876$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,874$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Yes | 16c | 1,664$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 23c | 1,604$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 1,390$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.11 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 17c | 1,328$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.21 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 48c | 1,300$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.75 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Yes | 37c | 1,297$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 17c | 1,295$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…2f52backed No | 61c | 1,200$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 28c | 1,194$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 53c | 1,059$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,023$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.56 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 970.26$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.95 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c63…b564backed No | 46c | 900.99$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 43c | 877.94$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.91 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…b708backed Yes | 80c | 789.52$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 18c | 778$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.38 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 18c | 556$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Yes | 36c | 555.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…74efbacked Yes | 16c | 507.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +534.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 479.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 45c | 465.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 55c | 461.26$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.13 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes | 79c | 442.01$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 28c | 439.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 69c | 409.94$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 16c | 409.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Yes | 16c | 400.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.58 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 387.36$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…1d3bbacked Yes | 15c | 366.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…aebebacked Yes | 15c | 346.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 15c | 331.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 68c | 323.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Yes | 15c | 322.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Yes | 16c | 312$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +312.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 303.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…8876backed Yes | 17c | 300.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf41…bfd4backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…6f82backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 36c | 278.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…0d2bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ee…4ad6backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 65c | 272$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 270.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 67c | 269.53$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc031…d56bbacked Yes | 17c | 265.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 38c | 261.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 256.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Yes | 29c | 247.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 22c | 235.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.24 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 36c | 230$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed No | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 65c | 216.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3b…ecf0backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 30c | 191.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked No | 39c | 183$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…fea9backed Yes | 16c | 169.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…89cabacked Yes | 37c | 150.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…603dbacked Yes | 24c | 143.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 44c | 137.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…f739backed No | 18c | 128.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 25c | 126$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 122.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…e0dbbacked Yes | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes | 17c | 119.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked No | 68c | 118.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…0733backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce27…8a7dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…9ab6backed Yes | 16c | 115$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ee…8420backed Yes | 16c | 111$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +166.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 107.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6a…9b8abacked No | 23c | 107.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will England vs. Japan end in a draw?No won
- Will England win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.