TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No75c11,716$8,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.0717853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.997346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c8,846$6,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.1358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes26c8,000$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.614027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes20c7,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c7,332$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.0138043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No75c6,349$4,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.2829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes25c4,085$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.342927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006221%13 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,717$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.591,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes25c3,600$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008151.9%42 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes23c3,191$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.1512737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No75c2,920$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.912445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes22c2,061$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.993426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7c…eab7backed No75c1,908$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No75c1,459$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.752161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c1,400$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35029136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a0…2c5abacked No76c1,322$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No69c1,013$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9411737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b45…41e3backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No75c904.71$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.182669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…cb8abacked No74c889.99$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes25c889.93$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No80c889.58$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.927146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No64c827$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3838343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes24c813.73$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2939842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005121.6%11 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes33c789$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.374158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c788.23$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.9635860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes25c773$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.253432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes26c734.62$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19110249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes25c725.91$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No73c711.11$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1925350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c612.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.421,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes62c582.43$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes18c558.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.396633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c529.49$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.8746048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c512.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7537544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No71c500$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.54427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510137.6%38 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No78c493.4$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes26c480.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+70.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No76c460.7$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.284254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes22c457.14$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.572236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes24c401.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.412450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb604…b046backed Yes25c397.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No67c319$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2738935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c310.27$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7721460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No75c302.65$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6310744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes62c240.32$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes21c195.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No75c194.27$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.578243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes24c190.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.082425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes26c189$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.934744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x040d…3527backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0469…2f00backed No39c139.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked Yes25c135.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.912948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No74c134.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.17754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c128.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0821745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Yes22c122.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…1685backed Yes20c105$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes22c100.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.735424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64f…29b4backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed0f…fc07backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2612546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd2…350cbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…a286backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes35c94.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336547.7%31 W · 34 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes25c91.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.199054.4%49 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x286e…7d04backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+143.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No76c85.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a5…5713backed Yes26c84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed No43c83.51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.212035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7737…4378backed No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9413759.1%81 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No75c71.88$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9728357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57650%38 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.