Champions League · resolved market
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec596ab8d2099a4a5d89f43cd46974dd9ab95008e7c692a5775103ba405eeb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $348,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 70c | 58,078$40,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,735.12 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 72c | 20,933$15,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,071.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 19,266$7,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,775.11 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 14,323$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,702.35 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 11,921$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,344.69 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 28c | 11,119$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,005.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 10,760$7,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,732.25 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 28c | 9,860$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.08 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 9,176$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.25 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 69c | 7,055$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked No | 73c | 6,824$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…6e92backed Yes | 31c | 5,806$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,006.45 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 48c | 5,385$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.85 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 71c | 5,063$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.83 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 73c | 4,426$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.7 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 25c | 4,000$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.75 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 31c | 3,161$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.34 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 30c | 2,593$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 2,379$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.42 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 26c | 2,240$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.4 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 1,774$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.14 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,743$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 30c | 1,726$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 29c | 1,712$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.11 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 25c | 1,615$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.71 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,585$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.37 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 71c | 1,584$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 73c | 1,546$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.57 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 70c | 1,517$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 12c | 1,472$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +78%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,445$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.97 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 20c | 1,389$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.79 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…2f00backed Yes | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Yes | 30c | 1,318$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 69c | 1,274$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 1,169$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.38 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,090$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.15 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…0542backed Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 70c | 1,004$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…7b64backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked No | 19c | 999$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 29c | 991.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.9 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 30c | 947.67$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 70c | 899.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…9e2ebacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 71c | 777$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.67 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked No | 71c | 776.22$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 746.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.35 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 71c | 716.17$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 77c | 649.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 639.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.22 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 27c | 627.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 77c | 619.29$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.91 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 15c | 579.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 571.99$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.73 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 565.99$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 72c | 558$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 70c | 550$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…2f8bbacked Yes | 13c | 522.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 23c | 521.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…f1bbbacked Yes | 19c | 518.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Yes | 21c | 505.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 500.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 71c | 487.93$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 23c | 485.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Yes | 32c | 475.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 437.07$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.29 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 435.28$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 31c | 418.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.85 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 410.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.39 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 30c | 394.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.01 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 29c | 392.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7a3ebacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 79c | 364.45$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 11c | 362.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 36c | 348.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.39 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…66b0backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 72c | 333.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.