TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,151,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,122,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes44c120,000$52,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,799.9910443.3%45 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No56c98,452$55,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,318.997146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No53c59,660$31,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,287.393452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…40eebacked Yes48c50,000$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,999.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes49c41,908$20,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,610.692552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No55c40,592$22,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,416.577346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes45c37,617$16,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,879.0917853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes46c32,701$14,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,997.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes47c31,248$14,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,631.1710443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af0…a676backed Yes0c31,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No49c29,524$14,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,190.3758248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes44c23,636$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.893148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes48c20,833$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes45c17,097$7,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,761.7638043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes47c16,000$7,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5203655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71c…513abacked No53c15,415$8,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,245.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No54c13,621$7,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.182259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c13,570$6,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,105.3329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes47c13,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0509348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c12,976$6,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,451.281,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed No54c11,738$6,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.242927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes1c11,670$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes43c10,853$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.62744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes50c10,000$5,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.997750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No52c9,868$5,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.657346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes7c9,780$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.7734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fd…ae61backed Yes69c9,329$6,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,467.89540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes43c8,750$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c8,272$4,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,022.2146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No57c8,000$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes45c8,000$3,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6203627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c7,392$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,178.4961447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No54c7,184$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.5738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes47c6,701$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed No56c6,686$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,941.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No55c6,680$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0064346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes45c6,662$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,997.91241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c6,485$3,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.0833851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No51c6,151$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.981735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes2c6,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No52c5,932$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.5739842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes43c5,500$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36518160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes4c5,300$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23811245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No56c5,170$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.88241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes44c5,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.993935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.952552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes48c5,000$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.311218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Yes45c4,909$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No53c4,718$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.299341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No54c4,666$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.471070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes45c4,444$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes48c4,444$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.221850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b45…41e3backed No55c4,000$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed No54c3,660$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes31c3,491$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0931,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes45c3,346$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.784744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes61c3,254$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1a0…92f9backed Yes45c3,167$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes48c3,130$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.3830657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2902030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes45c2,862$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.984540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No56c2,690$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.3638935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc7e…08fdbacked Yes45c2,300$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes43c2,230$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.9622147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No48c2,211$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.0212450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes45c2,200$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes46c2,165$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked No30c2,158$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.591838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No54c1,968$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.182744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.92864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes46c1,611$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.0610845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70524327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…8302backed Yes45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed No56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603250%16 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes68c1,487$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c1,473$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.3212938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes43c1,458$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.91844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes67c1,400$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9381540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes41c1,345$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes47c1,312$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.8336851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…b616backed Yes68c1,152$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No51c1,117$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.4337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes44c1,100$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48412242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010249%50 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed No56c1,075$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.441450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes47c1,073$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes43c1,050$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.519755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes44c1,031$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.4239746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Yes45c1,003$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked Yes45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd371…4478backed No30c999.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Yes44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed No56c889.98$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.592236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No55c844.88$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.24254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes22c804.15$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6460%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.