Champions League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2290a68389a98de3e049ea9d898cd145523f8a3814da60a3c20b80b35844f3f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,122,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 44c | 120,000$52,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,799.99 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 56c | 98,452$55,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,318.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 53c | 59,660$31,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,287.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Yes | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 49c | 41,908$20,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,610.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 55c | 40,592$22,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,416.57 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 45c | 37,617$16,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,879.09 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 46c | 32,701$14,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,997.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 47c | 31,248$14,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,631.17 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…a676backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 29,524$14,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,190.37 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 44c | 23,636$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 17,097$7,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,761.76 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 47c | 16,000$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,520 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…513abacked No | 53c | 15,415$8,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 54c | 13,621$7,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,227.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 13,570$6,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,105.33 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 47c | 13,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 12,976$6,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,451.28 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed No | 54c | 11,738$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.24 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 1c | 11,670$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 43c | 10,853$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 52c | 9,868$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.65 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 7c | 9,780$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.77 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Yes | 69c | 9,329$6,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,467.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Yes | 43c | 8,750$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 8,272$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.21 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 45c | 8,000$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 43c | 7,392$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.49 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 7,184$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.57 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 47c | 6,701$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 56c | 6,686$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 55c | 6,680$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 45c | 6,662$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 6,485$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.08 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 51c | 6,151$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 5,932$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.57 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 4c | 5,300$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 56c | 5,170$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.8 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.3 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 45c | 4,909$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 53c | 4,718$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.29 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 54c | 4,666$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 48c | 4,444$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed No | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed No | 54c | 3,660$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 3,491$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 45c | 3,346$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 61c | 3,254$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed Yes | 45c | 3,167$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,130$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.38 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 45c | 2,862$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.98 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 2,690$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.36 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Yes | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 43c | 2,230$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.96 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 48c | 2,211$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.02 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 45c | 2,200$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 46c | 2,165$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked No | 30c | 2,158$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 54c | 1,968$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 46c | 1,611$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.06 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…72dbbacked Yes | 68c | 1,487$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,473$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.32 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 43c | 1,458$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 67c | 1,400$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,345$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,312$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.83 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…b616backed Yes | 68c | 1,152$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 51c | 1,117$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.43 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed No | 56c | 1,075$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 44c | 1,031$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.42 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 45c | 1,003$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 56c | 889.98$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 55c | 844.88$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes | 22c | 804.15$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.