TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c44…a1aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.81
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.1
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$9.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$57
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.13
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.61
Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$204.16
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid-6.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+482.1%+$770.54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$26.62
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$7.87
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$47.29
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.63
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.56
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$49.41
Will Albania win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-84.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$218.98
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Celtic FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19
SK Brann vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Will OGC Nice vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Midtjylland vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+161.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Islandersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+218.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$74.69
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+223.8%+$725.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.08
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$11.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$68.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.6%+$47.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$58.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.