TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$692,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Yes57c178,893$101,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,923.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No42c150,000$63,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,999.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No43c68,004$29,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,241.826347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c39,972$22,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,127.6527737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No43c39,804$17,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,115.852839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No44c31,557$13,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,885.084658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes57c30,000$17,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.9810952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c24,678$12,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,929.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No42c23,750$9,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,974.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes58c23,466$13,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,855.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+98.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes58c20,440$11,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,584.752475%18 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e4…f06fbacked No43c14,000$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,020616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c13,016$9,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,848.611,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes16c11,962$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,048.458169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c11,920$6,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.7948144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No21c8,436$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.852536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No43c7,984$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.2221548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes22c5,999$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+264.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x967b…c925backed Yes57c5,328$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c5,091$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.8593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…a696backed No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No43c4,967$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.6845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes26c4,490$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.678457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6802347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.995641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No41c3,176$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.2711848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes50c2,777$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.8596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c2,726$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.938744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes57c2,588$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.843253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c2,401$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.0559240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes21c2,380$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.978334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No42c2,300$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.951127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes41c2,004$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.215100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+144.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed No4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9914249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9811837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes48c1,882$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.636850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6506…aaa7backed Yes57c1,877$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.19366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes45c1,742$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.563256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes56c1,505$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.324939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No43c1,400$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.972941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes56c1,305$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3333357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes58c1,300$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5461546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed Yes28c1,232$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+79.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7802737%10 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes27c1,133$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.432441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No71c1,129$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.085369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Yes72c1,074$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick59cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c1,035$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.0135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c1,033$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No42c1,015$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.843243.8%14 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+88.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked No43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No41c999.92$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.971637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes22c909.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6f…e9dabacked Yes58c906.9$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes57c884.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8813553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes39c818.07$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0715635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No32c803.56$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.434717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes58c800$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3363938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No43c799.95$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9812657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b9…3d59backed Yes23c785.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+131.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No75c783.4$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2811964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No63c782.58$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9924849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes28c762.41$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No59c761.68$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes57c746$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.482661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No44c741.98$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.476355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes51c725.66$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c5…e422backed Yes42c721.82$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+131%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac4…a55dbacked No80c710$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No45c700$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.52837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes10c700$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63215623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f3b…be48backed No44c680.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes47c658.15$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.637568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed No65c653.64$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.281827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes42c649.99$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.454845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ba…2652backed No44c637.5$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes59c602.53$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.049046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bd…ec2dbacked No76c600$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45620%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c597.47$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.946033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked No44c579.11$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes68c572.41$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.223056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2366…6fe9backed Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Yes59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes71c504$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes50c503.34$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0115550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No44c489.24$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.275658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df8…475cbacked Yes25c465.02$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.971060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No77c458$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes25c456.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.422055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5172…31e6backed Yes57c442.56$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.