TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino FC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No69c16,196$11,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.631,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes31c15,542$4,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Yes13c3,420$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c2,117$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.62,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Yes26c1,268$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.66333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Yes26c1,140$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3990%0 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c995.97$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9538744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes31c978.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No51c966.37$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.374656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c718.79$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes33c696.91$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.983046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes13c646.44$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed No55c629.05$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.761827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d57…caeebacked Yes10c589.6$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes24c528.34$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.498457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed No71c485.92$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.92540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c477$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes21c465.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.851136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1329…fb0cbacked Yes27c393.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes12c393.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes6c303.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.212040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a88…b859backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+366%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…8765backed Yes28c289.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.861729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes17c234.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.154717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c229.02$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8343058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes26c211$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.863920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a7f…91ebbacked No66c204.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.351040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed No74c202$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.15100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No72c200.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7715550.3%78 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No73c183.33$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes11c179.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No68c154.37$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.615369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes29c153.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6324849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…27a7backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes31c143.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No75c142$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7bbd…1bf5backed Yes18c141.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes25c117.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8727226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c3…0783backed Yes34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6188…c38fbacked Yes9c113.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes26c110.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.699124.2%22 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c102.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Yes27c100.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5114249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa791…9f81backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No73c97.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4319549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes20c94.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.931738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa891…6c9dbacked No74c94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes47c92.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.743658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes24c76.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4636630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.757166.2%47 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes23c74.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…443abacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Yes23c66.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153129%9 W · 22 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No78c66.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Yes23c59.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.894727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc217…3af3backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No72c54.79$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.342060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1314255.6%79 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-81.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb88…2a30backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.483658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb777…5abfbacked Yes27c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No71c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc095…e5bbbacked Yes27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No74c42.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.022254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked No74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.021758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked No70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No73c20.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.549078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea2…474cbacked No74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba8…8d3cbacked No75c20.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.094100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No74c19.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.022330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed No70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No75c13.35$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.342085%17 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick72cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.