Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25f88114147f0b524d58805fba2fe8e706cd598543dadff86d461d98a5a6aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,690$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 7c | 957.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 37c | 729.8$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 680.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…f89fbacked Yes | 58c | 364.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 66c | 348.45$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 44c | 317.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 63c | 239.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 198.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 44c | 116.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 59c | 108.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 40c | 89.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 49c | 80.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked No | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed No | 32c | 74.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Yes | 60c | 70.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 58.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 58.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 37c | 54.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…3900backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 40.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 62c | 40.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 62c | 34.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 61c | 32.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Yes | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.