Europa Conference League · resolved market
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f88da1ec9ef241f331d154360b62920b15f0134e55db594d5479286eef078c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 1,532$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.18 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 1,263$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 55c | 642.6$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 622.74$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 51c | 435.69$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 349.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 255.34$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 46c | 167.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 157.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 152.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 47c | 149.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 48c | 124$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 117.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 40c | 104.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 64c | 102.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 61c | 97.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 82.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 81.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…20b9backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 42c | 46.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…9546backed Over | 55c | 45.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 49c | 40.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Over | 50c | 33.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…c8d0backed Over | 58c | 21.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +296%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…6addbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.