La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb982a477dd33800e09de18df3fc18f717db7dd7c0d434579935ee04c6ff2950d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,250,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,274,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,250,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,041 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 64c | 400,000$257,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257,989.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 35c | 241,124$83,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157,446.02 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 180,367$71,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,520.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 35c | 76,705$26,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,858.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 22c | 64,799$14,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,543.45 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 77c | 50,000$38,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,499.97 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 22c | 49,934$10,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,948.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 78c | 49,911$38,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,769.68 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 1c | 39,033$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 32,791$14,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,213.13 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 27,663$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,089.59 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 23c | 25,992$5,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,014.14 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 23c | 22,014$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,950.87 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 23c | 21,183$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,310.86 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 21,110$11,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,828.94 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 78c | 19,838$15,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,474 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 23c | 19,307$4,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,816.58 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 23c | 14,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…e82cbacked Yes | 77c | 13,511$10,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,424.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Yes | 51c | 13,430$6,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,877 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 23c | 13,219$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,178.57 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 23c | 13,000$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,069.91 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 11,933$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,188.41 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 23c | 10,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,084.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,078.07 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 23c | 10,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.9 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 9,882$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.46 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 78c | 9,603$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,490 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 63c | 9,543$6,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 9,522$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…ff5ebacked Yes | 77c | 8,831$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 23c | 8,300$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.84 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 78c | 7,692$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 62c | 7,598$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.66 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 21c | 7,551$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.15 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 33c | 7,131$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.58 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…5030backed Yes | 52c | 6,626$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 69c | 6,544$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Yes | 78c | 6,363$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…9abfbacked Yes | 70c | 6,162$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 30c | 5,968$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.88 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 77c | 5,800$4,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,465.99 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 78c | 5,609$4,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.87 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 39c | 5,473$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.32 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 23c | 5,174$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 22c | 4,980$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.18 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 21c | 4,649$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.17 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 30c | 4,444$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.95 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 74c | 4,050$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 77c | 4,002$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.2 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…1d63backed Yes | 76c | 3,949$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…6201backed Yes | 78c | 3,844$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,812$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 23c | 3,790$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.3 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 32c | 3,486$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.02 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9e…87c9backed Yes | 77c | 3,448$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 22c | 3,444$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.03 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 35c | 3,397$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 39c | 3,384$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.52 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 3,337$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.55 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…42c6backed No | 25c | 3,320$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 24c | 3,275$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 77c | 3,264$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.51 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Yes | 78c | 3,205$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…5ab3backed Yes | 78c | 2,905$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 2,828$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.26 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 24c | 2,800$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.97 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 77c | 2,772$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 24c | 2,723$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.34 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 78c | 2,719$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.61 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed Yes | 78c | 2,691$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 23c | 2,678$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.06 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…c862backed Yes | 11c | 2,626$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 33c | 2,619$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 77c | 2,599$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Yes | 43c | 2,587$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ad…4a01backed Yes | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 64c | 2,218$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.75 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 76c | 2,163$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.42 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed No | 23c | 2,100$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…21b4backed Yes | 78c | 2,099$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 24c | 2,069$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.44 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…1f90backed Yes | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 22c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d11…c34dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,940$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 44c | 1,905$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…5120backed Yes | 30c | 1,890$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 78c | 1,890$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.76 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 77c | 1,868$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.61 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.