TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c14,211$10,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.982748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c3,804$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.961,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c3,388$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.654,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes27c3,187$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.5712251.6%63 W · 59 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No74c2,703$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.8514067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No73c2,043$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.513360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes18c1,980$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.43951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes27c1,874$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c1,870$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.673,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes15c1,783$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d56…71dabacked Yes18c1,544$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes30c1,244$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3683636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes26c1,197$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5455941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf2b…573cbacked Yes15c1,080$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No74c1,079$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660c…0645backed Yes20c961.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes25c878.68$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2207632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes32c785.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503450%17 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd659…4abbbacked Yes22c772.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No77c576.58$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…5120backed Yes18c561.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fa…a660backed Yes35c557.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No69c543.72$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6429038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes26c511.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49bd…f88dbacked Yes18c508.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes15c499.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.949923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c486$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6442458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0d…e6babacked Yes79c479.61$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes15c463$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9530634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7638…9e82backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c428.26$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa125…7cdfbacked Yes15c401.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.532445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes28c359.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No67c344.2$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5474457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No74c320$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7815036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes30c296.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5ed9backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4923…3094backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed Yes30c270.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0660%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e76…caabbacked Yes31c265.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.651050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes31c255.1$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782532%8 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Yes24c253.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes30c229.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.098641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes21c224.26$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa478…d961backed Yes27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes26c211.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9914333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x101e…eaf4backed Yes35c205.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+109.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422030%6 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes26c188.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf237…46edbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-74.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daa…eb0fbacked Yes29c174.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes27c166$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0020…e241backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No76c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes16c148.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8212722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a2…bffcbacked Yes17c146.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…3418backed Yes35c143.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.192055%11 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes14c143$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c142$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes26c132.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.577443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4850…6442backed Yes35c130.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb539…cb26backed Yes25c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes26c127.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.08100%0 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes25c124.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes25c124$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.128125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…a76dbacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf45a…96e5backed Yes15c113.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes24c105$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes20c104.67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4225248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf928…3d26backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333834.2%13 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc8…58e2backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…c106backed Yes16c99.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes28c96.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab58…b07dbacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Yes24c83.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes30c79.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.739541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3a6…8297backed Yes18c79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e3…5b5cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11a3…0740backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes29c73.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.461827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes15c73.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b5…63abbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No71c70.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5914166.7%94 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes35c70.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes15c66.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107135.2%25 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.