La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bc6d85025c78b8dee353d387e4d619627ccad5b91e9205d03b44e9bd1de7b4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 28,547$9,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,464.25 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 7c | 24,533$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,760.55 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes | 8c | 16,945$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,589.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 20c | 12,673$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.2 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 6,956$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,292.32 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 6,688$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.22 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 4,412$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.98 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 9c | 4,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.33 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…eaf9backed Yes | 9c | 4,218$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 16c | 3,721$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…9fedbacked No | 25c | 3,126$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.94 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 2,776$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.56 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 2,382$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 65c | 2,313$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 8c | 2,300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 2,036$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.56 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,851$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.88 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 10c | 1,850$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,611$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,529$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 31c | 1,528$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.1 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +508.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,451$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.54 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…5602backed No | 79c | 1,430$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 1,355$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.23 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 51c | 1,222$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.22 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 10c | 1,160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.1 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 74c | 1,149$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.23 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 37c | 1,135$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 42c | 1,012$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 20c | 999.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 68c | 966.25$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 33c | 908.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.11 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 42c | 807.87$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 46c | 798.72$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed No | 69c | 716.59$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 55c | 694.86$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed No | 50c | 618$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 66c | 600$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed Yes | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 13c | 599.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed No | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 580.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 9c | 499.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.89 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 45c | 493.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 7c | 471$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.03 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e00…d922backed Yes | 9c | 450.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +462.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…0645backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 66c | 442.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 65c | 435.86$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 9c | 397.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 388.65$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.66 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…983bbacked Yes | 10c | 377.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +950.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…2646backed Yes | 78c | 347.06$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked No | 33c | 344$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 10c | 330$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 56c | 316.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 11c | 294.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 69c | 284.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 18c | 277.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 8c | 260$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked No | 78c | 257.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 235.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.84 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 8c | 220.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 11c | 219.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…789fbacked Yes | 12c | 209.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +318.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 10c | 202$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked No | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…7abfbacked No | 35c | 182.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 8c | 181.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 12c | 163.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…917cbacked Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 77c | 152.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8a97backed No | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.