TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf2b…573c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.23
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$737.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.1%+$24.59
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$43.42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$83.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$436.16
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.31
Qatar Total Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.3
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keysbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.2
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.42
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Zakharova (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+56.7%+$9.44
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,053.61
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$532.8
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,012.49
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+49.8%+$12.45
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+95.9%+$15.55
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,115.24
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$161.49
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$115.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$882.77
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$104
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,313.9
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swell airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+79.4%+$381.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+53.8%+$56.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$162
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.