Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1277b84322bef151d16c7b8b9002c502e8ab09b4f9d5c1f10bd0e5fd7cf2ce09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 14c | 20,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 11c | 13,344$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.86 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,701$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.59 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,700$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 1c | 1,693$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 16c | 1,256$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…573cbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 12c | 778.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.46 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 730$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 12c | 708.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 13c | 702.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 15c | 654.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 14c | 581.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 13c | 338.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857e…e682backed Yes | 5c | 325$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…2821backed Yes | 13c | 209.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee44…0082backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 12c | 162.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b01…a8cabacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…9d35backed Yes | 13c | 148.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…1882backed Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…d7ddbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 13c | 110.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…d9b1backed Yes | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…eea5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…ed64backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…f946backed Yes | 12c | 92.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.